Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FNUS73 KPAH 141724
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Spring...USFS MARK TWAIN NF
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1224 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 CDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...Sunny skies will prevail for the rest of the
afternoon with southwesterly winds gusting 15 to 20 mph at times.
Highs will reach the lower 80s with minimum RH values in the mid
30s likely.

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........79 at forecast start...Max 84.
RH..................37 percent at forecast start...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /57900 knot-ft/ at forecast start.
                    Max...good /69100 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at forecast start...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0
Temp............79     82     83
RH..............38     36     37
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW     S
20 FT wind spd..12     13     13
20 FT wind gust.18     18     20
Haines index....4      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..58     65     66
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   GOOD   GOOD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 61.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (59100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....                            M      M
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   M      M
Tstm cov........                            M      M
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............84     77     72     69     67     63
RH..............38     52     61     70     78     87
20 FT wind dir..S      S      SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT wind spd..12     10     10     10     7      6
20 FT wind gust.17     16     16     14     10     9
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..59     7      10     7      5      4
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 84.
RH..................Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 10
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (60100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....M      M      M      M      M
Weather type....M      M      M      M      M      NONE
Tstm cov........M      M      M      M      M
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............62     63     73     80     83     84
RH..............90     90     68     54     47     44
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW     S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      6      6      7      10     10
20 FT wind gust.7      7      10     10     15     16
Haines index....3      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      6      13     22     46     60
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD

$$
Forecaster...WFO PADUCAH
Requested by...Roman Watson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2410735.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL momoc.dispatch@usda.gov


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