Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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738 FXUS64 KSJT 080721 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 221 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 219 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Unseasonably hot temperatures are forecast across West Central Texas today. Stratus across the southern half of the area will quickly dissipate by mid to late morning, with mostly sunny skies this afternoon. Surface moisture has quickly increased across the area early this morning, but expect the dryline to quickly sweep east across the region today, with much drier air filtering in across the area. Highs across the Big Country will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with mid to upper 90s across the rest of the area. A few locations could approach the upper 90s. Expect overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Tuesday) Issued at 1257 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024 Unseasonably warm temperatures through late Wednesday, then a pattern change to cooler conditions from thursday through the weekend. Weak ridging and fairly persistent zonal flow aloft, along with dry and warm west to southwest flow at the surface, will keep above normal temperatures across much of West Central Texas through late Wednesday. A cold front begin to track southeastward through the area Thursday, with little to no precipitation expected given the dry nature of this system. However, a shower/thunderstorms or two could potentially develop across the far southeastern portions of our area during the afternoon and evening hours on Thursday. Brought some slight chances into the forecast during the day Thursday to show the possibility of a few showers or thunderstorms developing over the Northwest Hill country and portions of the Heartland. Once the front passes through the area, and north to northeasterly winds take hold over the area through the end of the week, we will see some cooler temperatures remain across West Central Texas through much of the weekend. High temperatures on Friday are expected to only reach into the mid 70s to lower 80s, and gradually warm through Monday reaching back into the 80s across the area. With low level east to southeasterly flow proceeding into the weekend, moisture is expected to start returning to the area, potentially generating a few showers and thunderstorms late Friday through Sunday. Overall, rain chances will pick up over west central Texas Saturday afternoon and continuing through the late afternoon/early evening on Monday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Stratus will develop at the southern 3 counties between 08Z and 09Z, resulting in MVFR ceilings. Expect a return of VFR conditions by mid morning. West to southwest winds will increase to 10 to 15 knots by mid morning, then decrease below 12 knots late this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 91 60 82 58 / 0 0 10 0 San Angelo 97 62 91 61 / 0 0 10 0 Junction 98 65 96 63 / 0 0 20 0 Brownwood 93 63 83 60 / 0 0 30 10 Sweetwater 90 61 81 58 / 0 0 10 0 Ozona 95 64 93 61 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 93 64 87 62 / 0 0 20 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....TP AVIATION...Daniels