Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 020920
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
415 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST.  FOR TODAY
HOWEVER...HAVE ELIMINATED LOW POPS FROM SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE
AND HAVE CALLED FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS IN NORTHWEST PART OF
FORECAST AREA.  NO MEASURABLE RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS PANHANDLES
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY IN
NORTHWEST PART OF FORECAST AREA.  GOOD CONSENSUS BETWEEN MODELS IN
DEPICTING A MODEST RIDGE-RIDING VORTICITY MAXIMUM TRAVERSING
SURFACE TROF WHERE DECENT CONVERGENCE EXPECTED IN REGION OF HIGHER
INSTABILITY.

OTHERWISE...HAVE CONTINUED LOW THUNDERSTORM POPS TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY.  CERTAINTY IS NOT HIGH REGARDING WHICH PERIOD WILL
BE MOST FAVORED DUE TO LACK OF MODEL AGREEMENT REGARDING LOW-LEVEL
FEATURES.  GENERAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED WITH MAXIMA SLIGHTLY
ABOVE CLIMO BY WEDNESDAY.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY...AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN ABOVE 25 PERCENT ACROSS
ALL BUT FAR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES. NO EXCESSIVE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                86  62  88  63  89 /   5   5   0   0   5
BEAVER OK                  89  61  92  65  94 /   0   0   0   0   0
BOISE CITY OK              86  59  89  63  92 /  10   5   5   5   5
BORGER TX                  89  66  91  67  93 /   5   0   0   0   5
BOYS RANCH TX              87  62  90  65  92 /   5   5   0   0   5
CANYON TX                  87  61  88  62  90 /   5   5   0   0   5
CLARENDON TX               88  65  88  65  88 /   0   0   0   0   0
DALHART TX                 85  58  87  62  90 /  10   5   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  89  62  91  64  93 /   5   5   5   0   5
HEREFORD TX                85  58  88  60  89 /   5   5   0   0   5
LIPSCOMB TX                88  62  91  65  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
PAMPA TX                   86  63  88  64  89 /   0   0   0   0   0
SHAMROCK TX                88  66  90  65  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
WELLINGTON TX              89  66  91  66  90 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

14/03




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