Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 231108
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
608 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail at all area terminals through the
forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 333 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017/

A broad upper trough is over the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest
and extends southward towards the Gulf Coast states. Winds will
start to come around to the north today as a cold front approaches
the area. Expect the cold air to lag behind the wind shift so
temperatures will likely warm up into the 80s across much of the
CWA.

As the front moves into the area this evening, winds through
Guadalupe Pass will likely reach high wind criteria so the watch has
been upgraded to a High Wind Warning for this evening through
Tuesday morning. On Tuesday, the upper trough deepens and shifts a
little more to the east. The surface high moves closer to the area
and temperatures cool into the 60s and 70s across the CWA Tuesday
afternoon. Temperatures start to warm up on Wednesday with southerly
winds returning to the area. An upper trough moves southeastward out
of Canada on Thursday, and a surface trough develops across the CWA
on Thursday in advance of this trough. This will cause temperatures
to warm up even more Thursday afternoon with highs mostly in the
80s. A cold front associated with this trough as it moves over the
central U.S. pushes into the area Thursday evening. This front will
result in temperatures on Friday being quite a bit cooler with highs
in the 50s and 60s across most of the CWA. The ECMWF is indicating a
slight chance of rain with this front but kept conditions dry for
now across the CWA. Temperatures are expected to plummet Friday
night/early Saturday morning with possible freeze conditions across
northern Lea County. Conditions will remain cool on Saturday with
the surface high near the area. Temperatures start to warm back up
on Sunday as the upper trough passes to the east. This warming trend
will continue into Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     81  47  68  42 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       83  45  66  40 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         87  55  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  84  49  68  45 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 78  45  59  42 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          79  43  63  38 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          80  43  63  35 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           82  48  68  42 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         81  48  68  42 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           84  50  69  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Warning from 9 PM this evening to noon MDT Tuesday for
     Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$

67/80


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