Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 280458
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1158 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...

See 06Z Aviaition Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in light/variable flow.
No convection anticipated, and convective temps will not be
realized.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 254 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...

The southern High Plains will remain sandwiched between an
anomalously cold closed low over the Great Lakes states and a
deepening long wave trough off the west coast of North America.
With clearing and drying conditions forecast for Wednesday,
temperatures should have no problem returning to the mid 70s
mountains to mid 80s along the Rio Grande. The Great Lakes low is
forecast to drop south over the Ohio River valley over the next
few days. This will in turn send a backdoor cold front across west
Texas and southeastern New Mexico Thursday morning, knocking down
temperatures slightly. Temperatures will be quick to rebound,
however, and the warming trend will continue through the weekend,
with widespread 80s expected. Indeed, by this time next week, high
temperatures should range from the upper 70s mountains to lower
90s across the Pecos River valley.

Precipitation chances will wane, as a closed low over Baja
California is absorbed into the aforementioned eastern Pacific
long wave trough. The southern High Plains weather will then be
influenced by a high amplitude ridge, and as such will hang onto
low precipitation chances across far west Texas this weekend, with
the remainder of the area remaining dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     79  55  84  58 /  10   0  10  10
Carlsbad                       75  51  82  60 /  10   0  10  10
Dryden                         75  58  82  64 /  20  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  75  57  82  61 /  10   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 69  53  75  58 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          75  50  82  57 /  10   0  10  10
Marfa                          70  49  77  58 /  20  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           78  54  84  58 /  10   0  10  10
Odessa                         77  54  83  59 /  10   0  10  10
Wink                           77  52  84  61 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

44/29/44


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