Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 162242
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
442 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

.DISCUSSION...

See 00Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours. Skies continue to
slowly clr NW-SE across the area, w/light return flow resuming
overnight. The NAM hints at moving a stratus up from the south Wed
on return flow, but cigs should stay VFR nevertheless.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 225 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Have deep trough extending from the Great Lakes to the Southern
Plains while a ridge extends from the Desert SW to the Northern
Rockies.  The ridge will build across the west as the trough moves
east providing mild wx for the region.  The next upper trough does
not come ashore till Friday and reaches the area Sunday.

Post frontal conditions today as very cold dry air from an Arctic
airmass has moved down into the area.  Persistent cloud cover helped
keep temps up last night but with decreasing clouds expected tonight
it should be much colder... tried to stay at or below the coldest
guidance. Could see lows down into the single digits at Tatum
with teens expected across much of the rest of the area.  Chill
factor should not be much of a issue tonight as wind speeds drop
off and the wind slowly comes back around to the south by
morning.  Looking for a slow recovery as temperatures start to
warm up Wednesday even with the return of sunshine only expecting
highs in the 30s and 40s.  It should warm more on Thursday back
into the 50s and Friday into the 60s.  With no significant fronts
over the coming week expect a return to near or above normal
temperatures.

Not expecting precipitation the next few days... may have a few
showers skirt the west over the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     12  38  21  51 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       15  40  19  54 /   0  10   0   0
Dryden                         20  41  24  50 /   0  10   0  10
Fort Stockton                  19  41  22  54 /   0  10  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 12  36  23  50 /   0  10   0   0
Hobbs                          13  36  18  51 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          14  37  19  52 /   0  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           13  39  21  50 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         14  38  20  50 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           15  39  19  53 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

44/80/44



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