Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

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000
FXXX10 KWNP 260030
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2015 Jan 26 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 26-Jan 28 2015 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 26-Jan 28 2015

            Jan 26     Jan 27     Jan 28
00-03UT        2          2          2
03-06UT        2          2          2
06-09UT        2          2          2
09-12UT        1          1          1
12-15UT        1          1          1
15-18UT        1          1          2
18-21UT        1          1          3
21-00UT        2          2          3

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-13 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2015

              Jan 26  Jan 27  Jan 28
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 26-Jan 28 2015

              Jan 26        Jan 27        Jan 28
R1-R2           25%           25%           30%
R3 or greater    5%            5%            5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts
from Region 2268.



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