Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 220752
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
341 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HOT CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN TODAY WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING ABOVE 90 DEGREES IN MANY SPOTS. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS TODAY WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY MODEST IN THE LOW
60S...LEADING TO MIN RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON OF AROUND 40 PERCENT.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL SETTLE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT USHERING A COOLER
AND DRY AIRMASS INTO THE STATE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA WEDNESDAY...AVERAGE
20 TO 25 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
341 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4440-4940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1180).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......550-750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5880-6380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-222100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
341 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4780-5280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......440-640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
341 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5180-5680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......280-480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4990-5490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

CB






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