Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 031945
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL EDGE DOWNWARD INTO LOW
AND MID 70S BY MIDWEEK AS BACK TO BACK COLD FRONTS PIVOT SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY AS ONE OF
THESE FRONTS MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE
OVER THE THUMB REGION WHERE MINIMUM RH READINGS WILL HOLD ABOVE 50
PERCENT. ELSEWHERE...AFTERNOON RH MINIMUMS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 45 AND
50 PERCENT INTO WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-041400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
342 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 11 AM UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7960-8460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7110-7610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-041400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
342 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 11 AM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7220-7720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5610-6110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-041400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
342 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8630-9130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1850).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6480-6980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (910).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.

$$

DG



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