Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 261956
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
356 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

...Showers south tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Showers and isolated thunder will move across areas
mainly along and south of I-96 tonight. Some areas south of I-94
could pick up as much as a half inch of rain. Then as we open up the
holiday weekend, Saturday will be dry and comfortable, with highs in
the 70s. However a more widespread area of showers and storms will
arrive late Saturday night, that will linger into Sunday evening. All
areas should see a quarter to a half inch of rain in this period.

More widely scattered showers and storms will be possible Memorial
Day into Tuesday, before we dry for much of the rest of the week. We
will stay at or slightly below normal next week, with most daytime
highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.


MIZ037>039-043>045-270815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
356 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. slight chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 100-600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 0 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 1
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6600-7100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 200-700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5500-6000 ft AGL decreasing to
                    700-1200 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-75 percent near Lake Michigan and 59-64
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4000-4500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.30-0.49 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-270815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
356 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0500, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2100 until 2300.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL increasing to 5800-6300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.29-0.40 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-270815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
356 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 400-900 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2300-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.57 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........63-68 percent near Lake Michigan and 50-55
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7700-8200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1600-2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4700-5200 ft AGL decreasing to
                    600-1100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the west
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3400-3900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to west
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.21-0.40 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-270815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
356 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. chance of rain
                    showers until 0300.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL decreasing to 600-1100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to west
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.24-0.42 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-270815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
356 PM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.58 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 11 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to west
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1100 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-0.43 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 11 to 16 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.



$$


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