Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 190730
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
330 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

...Some Rain South Today...

.DISCUSSION...
An area of showers and even a few thunderstorms will track
northeastward into Lower Michigan this morning.  Thus the region
will see more in the way of clouds and even some rain...mostly
south of a Grand Rapids to Lansing line.  Those clouds will act
to keep the temperature somewhat lower today as compared to the
previous past couple of days.


MIZ037>039-043>045-192015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
330 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1000.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 15
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2300-2800
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-192015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
330 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0900.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-192015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
330 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 0900. isolated thunderstorms.
                    chance of rain showers after 0900.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2100-2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to
                    700-1200 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-192015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
330 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.32 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 0500.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-192015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
330 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 1300. isolated thunderstorms. chance of
                    rain showers after 1300.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.42 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1900, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$



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