Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 251941
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
341 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

...Wet through Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving system will gradually move toward the area through
Sunday, before it finally begins to exit Sunday night. This system
will bring multiple waves of rain showers with some embedded thunder
through Sunday afternoon. The rain chances will then diminish Sunday
night as the system pulls away.

Another system will likely clip the southeast portion of the area
late Monday and Monday night as a low slips by to our south and
southeast. Drier weather with seasonable temperatures can then be
expected much of the week.


MIZ037>039-043>045-260830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
341 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers. slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.30 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 1600-2100
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.18 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.19 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 46 near Lake Michigan AND 49-54 inland.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan AND 4
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    2600-3100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-260830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
341 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2200, then rain showers. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.23 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.12 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-260830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
341 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers. slight
                    chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.27 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 500-1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 1200-1700 ft AGL increasing to
                    3500-4000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.18 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.19 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    2400-2900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-260830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
341 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2200, then rain showers. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.21 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.18 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-260830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
341 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2200, then rain showers. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.21 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    chance of thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL increasing to 3900-4400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair) increasing to 800 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.21 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening,
then a chance of rain and snow showers overnight. Lows in the mid
30s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s.



$$



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