Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 240714
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Waves of low pressure will continue to move along a slow-moving
cold front, producing a good chance for showers and
thunderstorms today and tonight. Another cold front trailing
from a deep low pressure system over the Ohio Valley on Thursday
will cross the area, bringing the final round of showers to the
area. High pressure will build in late Thursday into Friday
maintaining quieter weather for much of the weekend. Low
pressure may affect the area early next week producing more
unsettled weather.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight....Low.

NCZ105>110-242315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        80           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           66           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        S 14 G29     SW 11 G25
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12 G27     SW 13 G29    SW 13 G26
Precip amount         0.26         0.89         0.12
Precip duration       5            8            2
Inversion             71/0800      2200         69/0600
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        68           94           47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3280                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 30                      W 22
Ventilation rate      98400                     136400
ADI early             27 Fair      69 Good      63 Good
ADI late              73 Good      12 poor      84 Good
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-242315-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           65           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S 11 G22     SW 10 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10 G22     SW 10        SW 13 G24
Precip amount         0.24         0.61         0.11
Precip duration       4            8            2
Inversion             69/0800      2200         66/0600
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        67           95           49
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3270                      6310
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      SW 21
Ventilation rate      78480                     132510
ADI early             20 Gen poor  48 Gen good  40 Fair
ADI late              62 Good      11 poor      83 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-242315-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        80           90           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           63           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S 11 G22     SW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10 G22     SW 10        SW 15 G24
Precip amount         0.26         0.48         0.13
Precip duration       4            8            2
Inversion             68/0800      2200         65/0700
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        67           97           48
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3080                      6070
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      W 23
Ventilation rate      61600                     139610
ADI early             18 Gen poor  37 Fair      44 Gen good
ADI late              44 Gen good  10 poor      83 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-242315-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           65           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        S 13 G29     SW 12 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 13 G29     SW 11 G26    SW 14 G25
Precip amount         0.34         0.63         0.07
Precip duration       6            8            2
Inversion             71/0800      2200         67/0600
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        68           95           46
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3130                      6800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 28                      W 23
Ventilation rate      87640                     156400
ADI early             28 Fair      61 Good      60 Gen good
ADI late              65 Good      11 poor      85 Good
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ039-242315-
Williamsburg-
Including the city of Kingstree
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           64           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        S 11 G21     SW 10 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G22     SW  8        W 14 G25
Precip amount         0.40         0.41         0.08
Precip duration       7            7            2
Inversion             70/0800      2200         65/0600
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        69           95           47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2930                      5980
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      W 23
Ventilation rate      67390                     137540
ADI early             24 Fair      47 Gen good  50 Gen good
ADI late              54 Gen good  9 poor       81 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-242315-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, and Mullins
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           90           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           64           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        S 11 G21     SW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 11 G21     SW  9        SW 15 G24
Precip amount         0.33         0.42         0.10
Precip duration       6            7            2
Inversion             68/0800      2200         65/0700
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        66           96           47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3470                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      W 22
Ventilation rate      76340                     136400
ADI early             22 Fair      54 Gen good  48 Gen good
ADI late              55 Gen good  10 poor      84 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-242315-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
314 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           80           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          80           63           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S 11 G21     SW 11 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10 G21     SW  9        SW 14 G24
Precip amount         0.30         0.34         0.13
Precip duration       6            6            2
Inversion             67/0800      2200         64/0600
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        66           96           47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3580                      5970
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     W 22
Ventilation rate      64440                     131340
ADI early             16 Gen poor  49 Gen good  44 Gen good
ADI late              47 Gen good  10 poor      80 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

40



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