Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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399
FNUS52 KILM 170739
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
339 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High heat and humidity will continue across the area through
Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase during
the weekend ahead of a cold front. This front will get hung up
in close proximity early next week and then dissipate, keeping
at least scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low to Moderate.

NCZ105>110-172345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
339 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          91           75           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        S  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  5         SW  7
Precip amount         0.11         0.10         0.19
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             82/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           100          61
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4750                      4170
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      SW 18
Ventilation rate      61750                     75060
ADI early             20 Gen poor  23 Fair      67 Good
ADI late              35 Fair      4 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-172345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
339 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          92           75           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        S  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  5         SW  7
Precip amount         0.12         0.10         0.22
Precip duration       2            1            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5160                      5870
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      SW 17
Ventilation rate      61920                     99790
ADI early             22 Fair      24 Fair      64 Good
ADI late              36 Fair      4 Very poor  69 Good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
62 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-172345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
339 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          92           76           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         SW  6        SW  8
Precip amount         0.12         0.10         0.24
Precip duration       2            1            2
Inversion             82/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           98           59
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5070                      4550
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6                      SW 16
Ventilation rate      30420                     72800
ADI early             18 Gen poor  20 Gen poor  59 Gen good
ADI late              27 Fair      6 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        3            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
67 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-172345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
339 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          93           75           94
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         S  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         SW  6        SW  7
Precip amount         0.12         0.10         0.15
Precip duration       2            1            2
Inversion             81/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           98           52
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5350                      6740
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9                      SW 17
Ventilation rate      48150                     114580
ADI early             17 Gen poor  22 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              29 Fair      8 poor       57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            9
Max LVORI late        3            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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