Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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638
FNUS52 KILM 290741
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
341 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak surface high pressure and a building upper level ridge
will be in control through Thursday. An upper trough
and cold front will move through on Friday and bring showers
and storms. The weekend looks rain-free and seasonable.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...low.

NCZ105>110-292345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
341 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          76           49           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         E  5         NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        E  6         E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             61/0900      2000         55/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        48           89           45
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6400                      5190
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  9                     SE 14
Ventilation rate      57600                     72660
ADI early             18 Gen poor  26 Fair      20 Gen poor
ADI late              35 Fair      5 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-292345-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
341 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          77           50           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         NE  5        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        E  5         E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             61/0900      2000         55/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        45           87           42
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6370                      5560
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     SE 13
Ventilation rate      44590                     72280
ADI early             21 Fair      23 Fair      23 Fair
ADI late              31 Fair      4 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       7            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-292345-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
341 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          77           52           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        NE  6        E  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  9        E  6         E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             60/0900      2000         55/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        44           87           42
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6340                      5430
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     SE 14
Ventilation rate      50720                     76020
ADI early             21 Fair      28 Fair      26 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      6 Very poor  53 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-292345-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
341 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           52           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         E  6         E  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        E  7         E 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             63/0900      2000         58/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        42           97           48
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6550                      5850
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     SE 16
Ventilation rate      45850                     93600
ADI early             16 Gen poor  23 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              27 Fair      7 poor       60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-292345-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
341 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          82           52           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         E  6         E  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        E  6         E 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             62/0900      2000         58/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        38           98           45
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6460                      6090
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  6                     SE 15
Ventilation rate      38760                     91350
ADI early             18 Gen poor  25 Fair      30 Fair
ADI late              29 Fair      6 Very poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-292345-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
341 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           53           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        E  6         E  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        E  6         E  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             60/0900      2000         56/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        39           93           44
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6360                      5850
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  6                     SE 15
Ventilation rate      38160                     87750
ADI early             18 Gen poor  25 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              30 Fair      6 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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