Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS52 KILM 240752
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
352 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Remnant tropical moisture from previous storm Cindy will pass
across the region this afternoon through early Sunday, bringing
a good chance of rain, which may be heavy at times overnight.
Slightly cooler and much drier air will move into the region
early next week. A warming trend is expected mid to late of
this week.


Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-250000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
352 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           80           80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            5            5
Min/Max Temp          91           75           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 14 G21    SW 10        W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12        SW  8        W  5
Precip amount         0.19         0.61         0.41
Precip duration       2            11           6
Inversion             81/0900      2000         82/1100
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        57           98           64
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6550                      4660
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW  7
Ventilation rate      131000                    32620
ADI early             66 Good      48 Gen good  19 Gen poor
ADI late              67 Good      10 poor      37 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-250000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
352 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        80           80           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   5            5            4
Min/Max Temp          91           74           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 14        SW  7        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 11        SW  6        NW  4
Precip amount         0.29         0.56         0.19
Precip duration       3            9            3
Inversion             80/0900      2000         82/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           98           50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6690                      6920
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W  8
Ventilation rate      100350                    55360
ADI early             58 Gen good  33 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              60 Gen good  5 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            9
Max LVORI late        1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-250000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
352 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           80           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            5            4
Min/Max Temp          92           75           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 13        SW  9        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12        SW  9        W  6
Precip amount         0.21         0.68         0.35
Precip duration       2            10           5
Inversion             81/0900      2000         83/1100
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        54           97           62
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6620                      5060
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     SW  7
Ventilation rate      105920                    35420
ADI early             54 Gen good  40 Fair      14 Gen poor
ADI late              55 Gen good  10 poor      25 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            5            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-250000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
352 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           80           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            5            4
Min/Max Temp          92           74           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 13        SW  7        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 12        SW  6        NW  5
Precip amount         0.30         0.62         0.20
Precip duration       3            9            3
Inversion             80/0900      2000         83/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           97           54
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6630                      6690
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W  6
Ventilation rate      99450                     40140
ADI early             50 Gen good  38 Fair      8 poor
ADI late              54 Gen good  6 Very poor  20 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       5            5            9
Max LVORI late        1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 81 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-250000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
352 AM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           70           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            4            4
Min/Max Temp          91           73           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW 13        SW  6        NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW 10        SW  5        N  5
Precip amount         0.29         0.45         0.09
Precip duration       3            7            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         82/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           97           46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6690                      7410
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     NW  6
Ventilation rate      93660                     44460
ADI early             45 Gen good  35 Fair      23 Fair
ADI late              49 Gen good  4 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 77 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.