Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
000
FNUS52 KILM 120848
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
348 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE COAST TODAY SPREADING A LIGHT MIX
OF RAIN AND WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA. AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS LATE TONIGHT AND BRING THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
SEASON THIS WEEKEND. RECORD LOWS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING. A
WARMUP WILL BEGIN MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING TO NORMAL
VALUES AHEAD OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH WILL BRING GOOD
RAIN CHANCES ON TUESDAY. SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THROUGH
LATE WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-130100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
348 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     RAIN         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          43           27           39
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        NW  5        NW 12 G23
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NW  6        NW 14 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       3            0
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    31/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        56           85           26
DSI                   1                         3
HAINES INDEX          2            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   430                       5480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     NW 24
VENTILATION RATE      3440                      131520
ADI EARLY             9 POOR       4 VERY POOR  88 GOOD
ADI LATE              9 POOR       6 VERY POOR  84 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. MAXIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
83 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-130100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
348 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        60           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          39           27           38
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        W  3         NW 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  5         NW  6        NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    29/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        51           86           26
DSI                   1                         3
HAINES INDEX          2            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   380                       5670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     NW 21
VENTILATION RATE      3040                      119070
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      2 VERY POOR  78 GOOD
ADI LATE              9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  73 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. MAXIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-130100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
348 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          48           30           42
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        NW  4        NW 11 G21
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NW  7        NW 13 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    33/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        62           87           28
DSI                   1                         2
HAINES INDEX          2            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   610                       5350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      NW 22
VENTILATION RATE      3050                      117700
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      4 VERY POOR  73 GOOD
ADI LATE              9 POOR       6 VERY POOR  75 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. MAXIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-130100-
DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
348 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          44           28           42
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  7        W  3         NW 11
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  5         NW  7        NW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    32/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        58           87           26
DSI                   1                         3
HAINES INDEX          2            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   590                       5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  5                      NW 21
VENTILATION RATE      2950                      115500
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      2 VERY POOR  70 GOOD
ADI LATE              9 POOR       6 VERY POOR  68 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            4
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            1

REMARKS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. MAXIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-130100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON
348 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ RAIN     NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          40           28           39
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE  8        W  3         NW 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  4         NW  8        NW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2
INVERSION             CONTINUED    CONTINUED    30/0800
MAX/MIN RH (%)        52           83           25
DSI                   1                         3
HAINES INDEX          2            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   780                       5750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NW 18
VENTILATION RATE      2340                      103500
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      3 VERY POOR  69 GOOD
ADI LATE              8 POOR       7 POOR       68 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       2            5            3
MAX LVORI LATE        3            5            1

REMARKS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. MAXIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
75 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

40



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.