Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 302035
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
435 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

...RH BELOW 30 PERCENT IN SOME AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF EASTERN KENTUCKY
TONIGHT BRINGING CLEARING SKIES AND DRY AIR INTO THE REGION.
AS THE HIGH DEPARTS ON TUESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
OHIO VALLEY REGION. THIS FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS
AND WINDS ON TUESDAY AND INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIPITATION AS IT CROSSES THE AREA. WITH THE RATHER DRY AIR IN
PLACE AND INCREASED WINDS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE NEAR
CRITICAL FOR A TIME TUESDAY AFTERNOON. LATER...ANOTHER AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS FRONT...BRINGING A
COLDER...BUT CONTINUED DRY AIRMASS FOR WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...THE BOUNDARY THAT HAD CROSSED THE REGION
ON TUESDAY EVENING WILL RETURN NORTH AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
TRACKS BY TO OUR NORTHWEST. THIS WILL BEGIN A PERIOD OF
UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH RAIN CHANCES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WEEK.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-310915-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG
435 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 70.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....186.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (187100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35 TO 40.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ068-079-083-084-310915-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
435 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 70.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUST TO
                    25 MPH POSSIBLE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....134.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (134200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 70.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-104-106>120-310915-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-
WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...
HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...
COAL RUN...ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
435 PM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20-25 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 25 TO 30
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....150.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (150200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
VENT RATE...........POOR (11900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10
MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10
MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GREIF



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