Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 011957
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

THEREAFTER...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION POSSIBLY SETTING OFF ISOLATED SHOWERS ON TUESDAY.

DRIER AIR WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE MIDSOUTH BEHIND A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-021115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           70           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.06         0.14         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            6            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      56 (-6)      67 (-12)     52           70
RH % (24H TREND)      88 (-9)      61 (+3)      84           44
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                NE 5-9                    NW 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   W 2-6        N 2-6        LGT/VAR      NW 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 946                       2060
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3103                      6757
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1032                      2146
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3385                      7041
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  2                     NW  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     NW 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2064                      15022
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              59                        60
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  5                     NW  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE 12                     NW 13
DISPERSION INDEX      13           36           26           40
LAL                   4            4            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3            3
STABILITY             E            C            D            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-021115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           70           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.20         0.30         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            6            1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (-6)      67 (-15)     55           69
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (0)       69 (+7)      84           49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                NE 8-12 G18               NW 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NE 4-8       LGT/VAR      NW 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 705                       2023
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2312                      6637
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 767                       2085
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                2516                      6841
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  3                      NW  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NW 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2301                      14595
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              63                        62
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  8                     NW  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE 17                     NW 13
DISPERSION INDEX      15           44           26           35
LAL                   4            4            4            1
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             E            D            D            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-021115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           60           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.08         0.32         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            5            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      56 (-6)      67 (-12)     52           68
RH % (24H TREND)      96 (-3)      68 (+1)      90           52
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                NE 4-8                    NW 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 2-6       NE 3-7       LGT/VAR      NW 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 444                       1901
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1457                      6237
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 565                       2022
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1854                      6634
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NE  6                     NW  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     NW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3390                      12132
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              60                        60
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  6                     NW  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE 14                     NW 11
DISPERSION INDEX      17           33           15           37
LAL                   4            4            4            1
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             E            D            D            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-021115-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           60           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.17         0.40         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            9            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      58 (-5)      68 (-12)     52           69
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+1)      70 (+8)      90           50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                NE 6-10                   NW 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 2-6       NE 4-8       LGT/VAR      NW 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 486                       1928
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1595                      6324
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 607                       2049
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1992                      6721
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NE  6                     NW  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     NW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3642                      12294
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              63                        61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  7                     NW  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE 16                     NW 11
DISPERSION INDEX      19           34           10           38
LAL                   4            5            5            3
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             E            D            D            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-021115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUNTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           70           20           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.33         0.48         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            9            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (-1)      69 (-11)     56           70
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     74 (+8)      86           51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                E 3-7                     NW 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SW 2-6       N 6-10       N 2-6        NW 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 942                       2100
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3089                      6890
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1013                      2172
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3325                      7125
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SW  6                     NW  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  6078                      13032
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              70                        64
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  5                     NW  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE 11                     NW 12
DISPERSION INDEX      19           40           9            35
LAL                   4            5            5            3
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST LATE IN THE MORNING.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-021115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           80           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.35         0.66         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            10           3
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      62 (-1)      71 (-8)      55           71
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+5)     74 (+9)      87           48
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                SE 2-6                    LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 3-7        W 4-8        LGT/VAR      NW 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1063                      2253
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3487                      7393
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1188                      2377
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3899                      7800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SW  6                     NW  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  7128                      14262
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              72                        64
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SW  4                     NW  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SW  9                     NW 10
DISPERSION INDEX      21           47           11           40
LAL                   4            5            5            3
LASI                  3            3            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KRM


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