Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 240840
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE ON TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH TONIGHT
BRINGING A LINE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS, SOME POSSIBLY STRONG TO
SEVERE, LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. COOLER AIR
WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION IN WAKE OF THE FRONT, PROVIDING MORE
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+5)   46-51 (-3)   51-56
RH % (24h trend)      38-43 (-13)  92-97 (+12)  36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G23                  W 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G27     S 13 G32     W 14 G32
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            80           60
Precip duration                    3            2
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.13         0.05
LAL                   1            5            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      W 24
Dispersion            92 Good                   73 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G23                  W 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G27     S 17 G32     W 18 G32

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
snow showers. Lows 19 to 28. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Warmer. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+4)   47-52 (0)    52-57
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-14)  87-92 (0)    40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G25                  W 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G28     S 14 G35     W 16 G36
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            70           60
Precip duration                    2            2
Precip begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.06
LAL                   1            5            1
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      W 29
Dispersion            68 Good                   74 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G25                  W 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G28     S 18 G35     W 20 G36

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 19 to 29. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Warmer. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-250945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+3)   45-50 (-2)   50-55
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-13)  94-99 (+7)   39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G36                  W 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G35     S 17 G47     W 14 G31
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            80           60
Precip duration                    3            2
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.24         0.03
LAL                   1            5            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      W 24
Dispersion            83 Good                   69 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 17 G36                  W 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G35     S 23 G47     W 18 G31

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 18 to 28. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 60s. Northwest winds
5 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the 30s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-250945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+2)   47-52 (-1)   51-56
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (-6)   94-99 (0)    34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G30                  W 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G32     S 15 G34     W 13 G29
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            70           40
Precip duration                    2            1
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.23         0.01
LAL                   1            4            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      W 21
Dispersion            107 Very good             55 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G30                  W 13 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G32     S 18 G34     W 17 G29

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-250945-
Nantahala National Forest-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   47-52 (+1)   51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   93-98 (-3)   33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G26                  W 11 G28
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G28     S 14 G31     W 14 G31
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.03
LAL                   1            4            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      W 24
DISPERSION            97 Good                   72 Good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G26                  W 14 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G28     S 17 G31     W 18 G31

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows around 30. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250945-
East Tennessee District East-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      74-79 (+5)   48-53 (0)    52-57
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (-10)  87-92 (-1)   37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G21                  W 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G25     S 11 G26     W 14 G32
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            80           60
Precip duration                    3            2
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.04
LAL                   1            5            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      W 23
Dispersion            79 Good                   72 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G21                  W 13 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G25     S 13 G26     W 18 G32

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 20s to lower 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Warmer. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250945-
East Tennessee District West-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (+3)   45-50 (-6)   49-54
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-10)  95-100 (+7)  34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G30                  W 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G31     S 12 G30     W 12 G28
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            80           30
Precip duration                    5            1
Precip begin                       7 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.32         0.02
LAL                   1            5            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)   S 28                      W 21
Dispersion            110 Very good             67 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G30                  W 13 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G31     S 16 G30     W 16 G28

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-250945-
Cumberland District South-
340 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017 /240 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (+3)   45-50 (-6)   50-55
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (-4)   95-100 (+8)  31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G29                  W 11 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G32     S 12 G29     W 13 G29
Precip type           NONE         tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     0            70           20
Precip duration                    2            1
Precip begin                       7 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.25         0.01
LAL                   1            5            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 28                      W 20
Dispersion            114 Very good             57 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G29                  W 14 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 19 G32     S 16 G29     W 16 G29

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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