Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 240217
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE TOMORROW AND INTO THE WEEKEND DUE TO
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S BY SATURDAY.
ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK
INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250330-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (+11)  63-68 (+4)   45-50        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+14)  43-48 (+24)  83-88        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G20                  S  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19    S  6         S  9 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5100                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     S 17
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   45 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G20                  S 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G19     SW 10 G19    S  8         S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 50.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250330-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+9)   59-64 (+7)   45-50        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+18)  44-49 (+21)  86-91        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G23                  S  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G25    S  8 G20     S  6 G15     S  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      S 20
Dispersion                         33 Fair                   33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G23                  S 10 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G25    S 10 G20     S  8 G15     S 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-250330-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (+7)   57-62 (0)    46-51        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (+19)  49-54 (+19)  83-88        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G31                  S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G32     S 11 G28     S  8 G20     S 10 G23
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 8 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      S 24
Dispersion                         30 Fair                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G31                  S 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G32     S 13 G28     S 10 G20     S 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-250330-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (+6)   61-66 (+1)   49-54        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+12)  48-53 (+20)  83-88        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 11 G28                 S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G28    S 10 G26     SE  8 G21    S 11 G25
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 8 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3300                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      S 29
Dispersion                         20 Gen poor               50 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 15 G28                 S 13 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G28    S 13 G26     SE 10 G21    S 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-250330-
Nantahala National Forest-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   59-64 (+1)   47-52        62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+8)   52-57 (+21)  88-93        50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G22                 S  8 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G24    S  7 G20     SE  7 G17    S  9 G23
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 23
DISPERSION                         9 Poor                    45 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G22                 S 11 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G24    S  9 G20     SE  9 G17    S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 50.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250330-
East Tennessee District East-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (+10)  65-70 (+5)   47-52        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      76-81 (+11)  44-49 (+23)  83-88        41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  6 G19                  S  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G21     S  5         S  8 G19
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4700                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     S 16
Dispersion                         38 Fair                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G19                  S  8 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  5 G16    S 11 G21     S  7         S 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 50.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds
5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250330-
East Tennessee District West-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (+8)   64-69 (+3)   49-54        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+15)  47-52 (+23)  81-86        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G24                  S 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G22     S 10 G25     S  6 G16     S 10 G25
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 8 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                S 22                      S 28
Dispersion                         54 Gen good               58 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G24                  S 12 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G22     S 13 G25     S  8 G16     S 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-250330-
Cumberland District South-
1017 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017 /917 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+7)   64-69 (+3)   51-56        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      80-85 (+17)  49-54 (+19)  84-89        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G23                  S 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G24     S 10 G24     S  8 G20     S 11 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            50
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 8 AM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                               2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2800                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      S 31
Dispersion                         33 Fair                   60 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G23                  S 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G24     S 13 G24     S 10 G20     S 15 G28

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$



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