Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
000
FNUS54 KMRX 311944
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE FIRST WINTER STORM SYSTEM OF THE SEASON WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING
OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT.  SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD THIS WEEKEND...BUT A QUICK WARMING TREND
WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-5)   33-38 (-13)  24-29        38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  90-95 (+27)  95-100       49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     NW 11 G18    NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.20         0.03         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     N 12
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G24                 NW  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G21     NW 13 G23    NW 11 G22    NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-6)   28-33 (-16)  23-28        36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  85-90 (+19)  95-100       48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 NW  9 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     NW 12 G22    NW 11 G22    NW  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           20
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.32         0.04         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     N 16
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G28                 NW 11 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G24     NW 15 G28    NW 14 G27    NW  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-012045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-7)   30-35 (-15)  23-28        38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  72-77 (+11)  95-100       38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G25                 N  6 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW 12 G24    NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.25         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 29                      N 13
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G31                 N  8 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G28    NW 15 G30    NW 12 G28    N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-012045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   37-42 (-13)  25-30        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  54-59 (+3)   80-85        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 N  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW 11 G20    N  9 G19     N  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.08         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      N 14
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G29                 N  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 14 G25    N 12 G24     N  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-012045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-4)   37-42 (-12)  25-30        44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  56-61 (+5)   78-83        32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G25                 N  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW 13 G24    NW 11 G22    N  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.10         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 30                      N 14
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               12 POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 18 G32                 N 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 16 G30    NW 14 G27    N  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   35-40 (-14)  25-30        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  79-84 (+19)  95-100       47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW 11 G19    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       8            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.18         0.03         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N  9
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G24                 NW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW 13 G24    NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   36-41 (-14)  25-30        44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  65-70 (+6)   95-100       42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    NW 10 G18    NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     N  9
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G27    NW 13 G23    NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
344 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-7)   40-45 (-12)  26-31        48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-4)   51-56 (-1)   80-85        35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G23                 N  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G23    NW 11 G20    N  8 G17     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 30                      N 12
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G28                 N  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G28    NW 14 G25    N 10 G22     NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.