Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 012144
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN OVERNIGHT WILL CHANGE TO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTY MONDAY MORNING AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE FALLING IN THE
AFTERNOON.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022245-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   33-38 (-15)  18-23        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+30) 43-48 (+18)  77-82        29-34
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G25                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     NW 11 G25    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      SW  8
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G31                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G30     NW 14 G31    NW  6 G17    SW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022245-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   33-38 (-13)  14-19        38-43
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 44-49 (+16)  70-75        24-29
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G28                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     NW 14 G28    NW  7 G19    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.69         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W  7
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 17 G35                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G35     NW 17 G35    NW  9 G24    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-022245-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   30-35 (-15)  15-20        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 47-52 (+5)   74-79        25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G36     NW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W  7
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G30                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 21 G46     NW 12 G28    N  5 G15     LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-022245-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    34-39 (-15)  19-24        42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 46-51 (+1)   78-83        26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G19                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G30     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.07         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W  2
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G24                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G37     NW 11 G22    N  5         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-022245-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+4)   35-40 (-13)  19-24        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 43-48 (-6)   76-81        21-26
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.69         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W  5
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G26                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     NW 13 G26    N  5         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   35-40 (-13)  19-24        42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+20) 44-49 (+11)  74-79        25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      SW  5
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G28                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     NW 13 G27    W  5         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    32-37 (-16)  20-25        42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+24) 45-50 (+6)   74-79        26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G23     NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW  5
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G24                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G29     NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022245-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
444 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   33-38 (-17)  21-26        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+22) 44-49 (0)    74-79        26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G19                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G22    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW  2
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G24                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G28    NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$


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