Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 191942
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...

We will remain in a quiet weather pattern through the weekend with
temperatures warming each day.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202045-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      24-29 (+12)  44-49 (+6)   36-41        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      74-79 (-1)   46-51 (+15)  95-100       69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G20                 S  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G16    SW  7 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3000                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1000                      700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 12
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G20                 S  7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G16    SW  9 G21    SW  5 G15    S  6 G15

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Colder. Lows in the 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder. Highs
in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202045-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      24-29 (+10)  45-50 (+6)   36-41        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      75-80 (+10)  37-42 (+14)  95-100       66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G25                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G25     W  5 G19     LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3600                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                900                       600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      SW 10
Dispersion                         9 Poor                    5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G25                  SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         W 10 G25     W  7 G19     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Colder. Lows in the 20s to upper
30s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-202045-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+12)  45-50 (+4)   34-39        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+11)  42-47 (+24)  95-100       66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        W  6 G21     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                700                       700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      SW 10
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G22                  S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7        W  8 G21     SW  5        S  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s to mid 40s.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy, showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers or snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the mid 20s to upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s to upper
40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-202045-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (+12)  48-53 (+5)   33-38        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (+8)   46-51 (+25)  95-100       66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2800                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                800                       1100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     S 12
Dispersion                         4 Very poor               10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the mid 20s to upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s to lower
50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-202045-
Nantahala National Forest-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+10)  49-54 (+5)   31-36        56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   47-52 (+25)  95-100       66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1000                      900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S  9
DISPERSION                         6 Very poor               7 Poor
MAX LVORI                          5                         7
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s to lower
50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202045-
East Tennessee District East-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      24-29 (+13)  46-51 (+7)   34-39        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      76-81 (-5)   44-49 (+11)  95-100       69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2200                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                700                       1200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     SW  8
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Colder. Lows in the 30s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s to
lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202045-
East Tennessee District West-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+15)  47-52 (+7)   35-40        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      77-82 (+5)   48-53 (+18)  95-100       65-70
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2000                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                700                       1600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     SW 14
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        SW  6        S  5         S  6 G15

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s to lower
50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-202045-
Cumberland District South-
242 PM EST Fri Jan 19 2018 /142 PM CST Fri Jan 19 2018/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+13)  49-54 (+5)   34-39        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      72-77 (-2)   49-54 (+25)  95-100       58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G15
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2000                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                900                       1800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     S 15
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8 G15

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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