Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 271915
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL TRANSIT THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND. AS A
RESULT...EXPECT SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS LOOK TO BE
THIS EVENING...EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...AND OVERNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY MORNING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (0)    74-79 (+1)   59-64        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+10) 63-68 (+6)   95-100       54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  7 G19                 SW  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6 G16     SW  6 G17    W  6 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60           40
Precip duration       2            3            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.12         0.22         0.45         0.10
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7000                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      W 13
Dispersion                         69 Good                   46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  9 G19                 SW  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        W  8 G16     SW  8 G17    W  8

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+3)   74-79 (+2)   58-63        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  55-60 (+4)   95-100       55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  6 G20                  W  9 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5 G21     W  9 G24     W  9 G22     W  8 G17
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           60           60           50
Precip duration       2            3            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.16         0.21         0.39         0.11
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7600                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      W 15
Dispersion                         70 Good                   44 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G20                  W 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G21     W 11 G24     W 11 G22     W  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper
70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-282015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+4)   74-79 (+1)   59-64        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+18) 55-60 (+5)   93-98        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 13 G41                 W  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G31     W 12 G45     W  9 G26     W  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60           50
Precip duration       2            3            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.29         0.14         0.41         0.16
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 8700                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 25                      W 14
Dispersion                         123 Very good             36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 17 G41                 W 10 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G31     W 15 G45     W 10 G26     W 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-282015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+3)   77-82 (+1)   62-67        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 56-61 (+3)   93-98        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 14 G42                 W  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G27    SW 10 G45    SW  6 G16    W  7 G19
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60           50
Precip duration       2            2            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.30         0.08         0.26         0.18
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 8500                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 25                      W 13
Dispersion                         140 Very good             41 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 17 G42                 W  9 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G27    SW 13 G45    SW  8 G16    W  9 G19

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-282015-
Nantahala National Forest-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+7)   77-82 (+2)   60-65        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  58-63 (+5)   95-100       57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G41                 W  7 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G24    W  9 G43     W  6 G18     W  8 G21
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           50
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.07         0.23         0.18
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8700                      6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 14
DISPERSION                         145 Very good             45 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 15 G41                 W  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G24    W 12 G43     W  8 G18     W 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282015-
East Tennessee District East-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+3)   77-82 (+1)   61-66        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  56-61 (+4)   95-100       56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  7 G27                 W  7 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  5 G15    W  9 G30     SW  5        W  7
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60           50
Precip duration       2            3            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.14         0.16         0.55         0.09
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7300                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      W 13
Dispersion                         92 Good                   48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  9 G27                 W  9 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G15    W 11 G30     SW  7        W  8

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282015-
East Tennessee District West-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+2)   78-83 (+2)   62-67        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+10) 56-61 (+1)   95-100       56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  9 G33                  W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G23    SW  9 G35    SW  5        SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60           40
Precip duration       2            2            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.22         0.11         0.35         0.08
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7800                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                W 26                      W 12
Dispersion                         148 Very good             45 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G33                  W  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G23    SW 12 G35    SW  7        SW  8

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-282015-
Cumberland District South-
315 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017 /215 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+2)   79-84 (+2)   64-69        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 57-62 (+2)   94-99        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 12 G31                 SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G22     W  8 G27     SW  5 G15    SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60           40
Precip duration       2            2            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.37         0.06         0.24         0.11
LAL                   4            4            4            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6500                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 25                      W 12
Dispersion                         118 Very good             45 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 15 G31                 SW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G22     W 11 G27     SW  7 G15    SW  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs near 80. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$



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