Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KTWC 032156
FWFTWC

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
300 PM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150 AND 151...

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
    TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WITH A STRONG WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA FROM THE EAST TONIGHT...WITH GUSTY EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
OVERSPREADING THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MID-DAY WEDNESDAY FROM THE NEW MEXICO BORDER TO TUCSON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS.

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL THEN RETURN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL MAINLY BE FROM THE TUCSON METRO
AREA WESTWARD...WITH THE CORE OF THE STRONG WINDS SHIFTING EASTWARD
FROM TUCSON INTO COCHISE COUNTY AND AREAS ADJACENT TO THE NEW MEXICO
BORDER ON FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER RATING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150
AND 151.

THE THREAT FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUES ON FRIDAY
FOR EASTERN AREAS. MOST LIKELY A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE ISSUED
ON SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS AS WE GET CLOSER TO FRIDAY FOR AREAS EAST OF
TUCSON TO THE NEW MEXICO BORDER.

AZZ150-041415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
TOHONO O`ODHAM NATION-TDC-
300 PM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........56 TO 66 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 3 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............27 TO 37 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 10 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
  SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
  20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........91 TO 101 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............5 TO 12 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........57 TO 67 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............25 TO 35 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........85 TO 95 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............7 TO 14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 48 TO 58. HIGHS 71 TO 81. SOUTH WIND AROUND 20
MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 26 PCT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 46 TO 56. HIGHS 69 TO 79. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15
MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 19 TO 29 PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 47 TO 57. HIGHS 74 TO 84. SOUTH WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 15 TO 23 PCT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 50 TO 60. HIGHS 79 TO 89.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53 TO 63. HIGHS 83 TO 93.

$$

AZZ151-041415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 151
EASTERN PIMA COUNTY-SOUTHEASTERN PINAL COUNTY-
SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-WESTERN COCHISE COUNTY-
CORONADO NF-TDC-
300 PM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........51 TO 61 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........48 TO 58 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........31 TO 41 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........30 TO 40 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 14 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
  SOUTHEAST AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO
  THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........86 TO 97 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........75 TO 85 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........6 TO 12 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........7 TO 14 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13442 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (255398 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........53 TO 63 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........50 TO 60 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........28 TO 38 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........27 TO 37 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............5 MODERATE.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........84 TO 95 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........73 TO 83 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........6 TO 12 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........7 TO 14 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............10755 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 24 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (268875 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
44 TO 54. HIGHS 70 TO 80. SOUTH WIND AROUND 25 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
12 TO 22 PCT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 40 TO 50.
HIGHS 65 TO 75. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 15 TO 25
PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40 TO 50. HIGHS 68 TO 78. SOUTHWEST
WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 24 PCT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 43 TO 53. HIGHS 73 TO 83.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48 TO 58. HIGHS 78 TO 88.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)

$$

AZZ152-041415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 152
SOUTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN COCHISE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN CARLOS APACHE NATION
IN GRAHAM COUNTY-CORONADO NF-SAFFORD BLM-TDC-
300 PM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........50 TO 60 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........47 TO 57 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 7 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........31 TO 41 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........30 TO 40 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 8 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..EAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
  20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST
  AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........84 TO 94 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........74 TO 84 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........9 TO 14 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........10 TO 20 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13069 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 18 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (313656 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........52 TO 62 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........49 TO 59 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........27 TO 37 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........26 TO 36 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 4 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY
  CLOUDY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........84 TO 94 DEGS
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........74 TO 84 DEGS
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............
*    BELOW 5000 FT.........6 TO 11 PCT
*    ABOVE 5000 FT.........7 TO 17 PCT
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13890 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 23 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (319470 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS WARM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
43 TO 53. HIGHS 71 TO 81. SOUTH WIND AROUND 30 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
9 TO 19 PCT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 39 TO 49.
HIGHS 64 TO 74. SOUTH WIND AROUND 25 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 24
PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 39 TO 49.
HIGHS 66 TO 76. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO
24 PCT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41 TO 51. HIGHS 70 TO 80.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46 TO 56. HIGHS 76 TO 86.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)

$$

AZZ153-041415-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 153
NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY-NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-
WHITE AND GILA MOUNTAINS-APACHE SITGREAVES NF-SDC-
300 PM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........42 TO 52 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 6 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............42 TO 52 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 15 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........73 TO 83 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............11 TO 19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............11228 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (247016 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........44 TO 54 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............36 TO 46 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY
  CLOUDY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........74 TO 84 DEGS.
*    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............8 TO 16 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* LAL......................1.
* HAINES INDEX.............4 LOW.
* MIXING HEIGHT............13393 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 23 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (348218 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 36 TO 46. HIGHS 63 TO 73. SOUTH WIND AROUND 25
MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 12 TO 20 PCT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 31 TO 41. HIGHS 55 TO 65. SOUTH WIND AROUND
15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 17 TO 27 PCT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 31 TO 41. HIGHS 57 TO 67. SOUTH WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM
HUMIDITY 19 TO 29 PCT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 34 TO 44.
HIGHS 62 TO 72.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 39 TO 49. HIGHS 68 TO 78.

NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)

$$

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