Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 271619
FWLLOX

ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
919 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

ECC029-281030-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
919 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HELPED BRING HOT CONDITIONS TO START
THE WEEK HAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH WHILE A LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SLOWLY CREEPS NORTHWARD. THIS SHIFT HAS ALSO WEAKENED OFFSHORE FLOW
IN GENERAL, BUT IT REMAINS GUSTY IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY THIS MORNING WHERE GUSTS TO
40 MPH AND HUMIDITIES DOWN TO 10 PERCENT ARE LEADING TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN DRASTICALLY BY AROUND
NOON TODAY. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE HOT AND DRY BUT
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED CONDITIONS TODAY LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONCERNS.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING MOIST EAST FLOW ALOFT AND A SHIFT TO ONSHORE
FLOW AT THE SURFACE BY THE AFTERNOON. MUCH IMPROVED HUMIDITIES AND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARD. WITH THE INCREASED
MOISTURE, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, THE EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD CAUSE STORMS TO DRIFT OFF
INTO THE VALLEYS. DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND COULD BECOME
STRONG OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

...CONTINUED HOT AND DRY TODAY WITH WEST WINDS...

ANOTHER HOT AND DRY DAY ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF THE DISTRICT. WIND WILL
BE FROM THE WEST BUT WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WIND SPEEDS. THE WEST
WINDS WILL BRING SOME MINOR RELIEF NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST BUT
INLAND AND HILL LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN HOT AND DRY. MORE NOTED
COOLING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, ESPECIALLY INLAND WITH NORTHWEST
WINDS AS TEMPERATURES FINALLY TREND TO NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-281030-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
919 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HELPED BRING HOT CONDITIONS TO START
THE WEEK HAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH WHILE A LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SLOWLY CREEPS NORTHWARD. THIS SHIFT HAS ALSO WEAKENED OFFSHORE FLOW
IN GENERAL, BUT IT REMAINS GUSTY IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY THIS MORNING WHERE GUSTS TO
40 MPH AND HUMIDITIES DOWN TO 10 PERCENT ARE LEADING TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN DRASTICALLY BY AROUND
NOON TODAY. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE HOT AND DRY BUT
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED CONDITIONS TODAY LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONCERNS.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING MOIST EAST FLOW ALOFT AND A SHIFT TO ONSHORE
FLOW AT THE SURFACE BY THE AFTERNOON. MUCH IMPROVED HUMIDITIES AND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARD. WITH THE INCREASED
MOISTURE, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, THE EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD CAUSE STORMS TO DRIFT OFF
INTO THE VALLEYS. DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND COULD BECOME
STRONG OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.


$$

ECC031-281030-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
919 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HELPED BRING HOT CONDITIONS TO START
THE WEEK HAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH WHILE A LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SLOWLY CREEPS NORTHWARD. THIS SHIFT HAS ALSO WEAKENED OFFSHORE FLOW
IN GENERAL, BUT IT REMAINS GUSTY IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY THIS MORNING WHERE GUSTS TO
40 MPH AND HUMIDITIES DOWN TO 10 PERCENT ARE LEADING TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN DRASTICALLY BY AROUND
NOON TODAY. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE HOT AND DRY BUT
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED CONDITIONS TODAY LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONCERNS.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING MOIST EAST FLOW ALOFT AND A SHIFT TO ONSHORE
FLOW AT THE SURFACE BY THE AFTERNOON. MUCH IMPROVED HUMIDITIES AND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARD. WITH THE INCREASED
MOISTURE, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, THE EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD CAUSE STORMS TO DRIFT OFF
INTO THE VALLEYS. DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND COULD BECOME
STRONG OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.


$$

ECC024-281030-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
919 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HELPED BRING HOT CONDITIONS TO START
THE WEEK HAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH WHILE A LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SLOWLY CREEPS NORTHWARD. THIS SHIFT HAS ALSO WEAKENED OFFSHORE FLOW
IN GENERAL, BUT IT REMAINS GUSTY IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY THIS MORNING WHERE GUSTS TO
40 MPH AND HUMIDITIES DOWN TO 10 PERCENT ARE LEADING TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN DRASTICALLY BY AROUND
NOON TODAY. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE HOT AND DRY BUT
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED CONDITIONS TODAY LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONCERNS.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING MOIST EAST FLOW ALOFT AND A SHIFT TO ONSHORE
FLOW AT THE SURFACE BY THE AFTERNOON. MUCH IMPROVED HUMIDITIES AND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARD. WITH THE INCREASED
MOISTURE, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, THE EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD CAUSE STORMS TO DRIFT OFF
INTO THE VALLEYS. DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND COULD BECOME
STRONG OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.


$$

ECC032-281030-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
919 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HELPED BRING HOT CONDITIONS TO START
THE WEEK HAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH WHILE A LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SLOWLY CREEPS NORTHWARD. THIS SHIFT HAS ALSO WEAKENED OFFSHORE FLOW
IN GENERAL, BUT IT REMAINS GUSTY IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY THIS MORNING WHERE GUSTS TO
40 MPH AND HUMIDITIES DOWN TO 10 PERCENT ARE LEADING TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN DRASTICALLY BY AROUND
NOON TODAY. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE HOT AND DRY BUT
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED CONDITIONS TODAY LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONCERNS.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING MOIST EAST FLOW ALOFT AND A SHIFT TO ONSHORE
FLOW AT THE SURFACE BY THE AFTERNOON. MUCH IMPROVED HUMIDITIES AND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARD. WITH THE INCREASED
MOISTURE, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, THE EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD CAUSE STORMS TO DRIFT OFF
INTO THE VALLEYS. DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND COULD BECOME
STRONG OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.


$$

ECC030-281030-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
919 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HELPED BRING HOT CONDITIONS TO START
THE WEEK HAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTH WHILE A LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA
SLOWLY CREEPS NORTHWARD. THIS SHIFT HAS ALSO WEAKENED OFFSHORE FLOW
IN GENERAL, BUT IT REMAINS GUSTY IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE STRONGEST
WINDS ARE OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY THIS MORNING WHERE GUSTS TO
40 MPH AND HUMIDITIES DOWN TO 10 PERCENT ARE LEADING TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN DRASTICALLY BY AROUND
NOON TODAY. OTHERWISE...MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE HOT AND DRY BUT
SLIGHTLY IMPROVED CONDITIONS TODAY LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE
CONCERNS.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING MOIST EAST FLOW ALOFT AND A SHIFT TO ONSHORE
FLOW AT THE SURFACE BY THE AFTERNOON. MUCH IMPROVED HUMIDITIES AND
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARD. WITH THE INCREASED
MOISTURE, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, THE EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD CAUSE STORMS TO DRIFT OFF
INTO THE VALLEYS. DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT EXPECTED. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND COULD BECOME
STRONG OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.


$$



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