Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 170257
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
757 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


THE MOIST FLOW WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SOME COOLING WILL OCCUR AS THE HIGH ALOFT
WEAKENS. A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT
COOLING THURSDAY AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WEST COAST. THE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY NEAR OR A LITTLE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS. HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER SOMEWHAT THURSDAY BUT
MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.



Discussion from LAXFWFLOX

ANOTHER ROUND OF EXTREME HEAT TODAY...WITH WIDESPREAD
TEMPERATURES RANGING BETWEEN 100 AND 110 DEGREES ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES HAVE GENERALLY RANGED BETWEEN 12 AND 20 PERCENT ACROSS
INTERIOR SECTIONS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY
CONSIDERING THE VERY DRY FUELS. MOUNTAIN AREAS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY...DUE TO THE VERY HOT
AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. SOME MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF
TROPICAL STORM ODILE WILL BRING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE SAN GABRIELS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY. SINCE MOST OF THE
MOISTURE IS CONFINED AT THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND THE LOWER
LEVELS ARE RELATIVELY DRY...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE SAME AREAS ON WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

GUSTY SUNDOWNER WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES...AND HOT TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO
BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND SOUTH COAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS...WHERE GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH CAN
BE EXPECTED. HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE SOUTH COAST AND SANTA YNEZ RANGE WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT IN WIND PRONE AREAS AND
FOOTHILLS...WHILE TEMPERATURES COULD SPIKE UP TO AROUND 100 DEGREES.
SUNDOWNER WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE EVEN MORE WIDESPREAD
ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE QUITE
AS HOT OR DRY.

SLIGHT COOLING EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WITH MORE
SIGNIFICANT COOLING THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THEN A POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF HOT TEMPERATURES
ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.



Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE REGION
FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY...HELPING TO KEEP MOISTURE FROM
HURRICANE ODILE TO OUR SOUTH. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERT
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVES INLAND. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BACK TOWARD NORMAL LEVELS
BY THURSDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN WINDS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.



Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE ODILE IS INCREASING THE THREAT
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH FURTHER NORTH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY THEN BEGIN TO
MIGRATE EAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.



Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


ABUNDANT MOISTURE FROM THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE ODILE WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP OVER THE
REGION BY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA
TO SEE HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS
WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE 35-50 PERCENT RANGE...WITH EXCELLENT
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE BRIEFLY
GUSTY...BUT OTHERWISE FAVOR AN EASTERLY DIRECTION UP TO 15 MPH.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-171457-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
757 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014


THE MOIST FLOW WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SOME COOLING WILL OCCUR AS THE HIGH ALOFT
WEAKENS. A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT
COOLING THURSDAY AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WEST COAST. THE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY NEAR OR A LITTLE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS. HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER SOMEWHAT THURSDAY BUT
MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$

ECC034-171457-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
757 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014


THE MOIST FLOW WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SOME COOLING WILL OCCUR AS THE HIGH ALOFT
WEAKENS. A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT
COOLING THURSDAY AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WEST COAST. THE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY NEAR OR A LITTLE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS. HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER SOMEWHAT THURSDAY BUT
MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$

ECC035-171457-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
757 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2014


THE MOIST FLOW WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND BRING ANOTHER CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SOME COOLING WILL OCCUR AS THE HIGH ALOFT
WEAKENS. A RETURN TO ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT
COOLING THURSDAY AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WEST COAST. THE
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY NEAR OR A LITTLE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS. HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER SOMEWHAT THURSDAY BUT
MOSTLY REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$




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