Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 191223
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAPLE RIDGE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
823 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HUMIDIFIES QUICKLY LOWER LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...MORNING SUN WILL GIVE WAY TO SLOWLY INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS
TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. INITIAL CALM TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL
BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING
IN SPEED AS DEEPER MIXING IS REALIZED. WIND GUSTS TO 15 TO 20 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOWER 60S
AND DEEPER MIXING WILL RESULT IN A STEADY PLUMMET OF RH VALUES...LIKELY
REACHING SUB 35 PERCENT READINGS AT THE BURN SITE FOR A PERIOD THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON...WITH STEADY IMPROVEMENT INTO THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES
COOL. WINDS TURN LIGHT SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT AS CLOUDS CONTINUE TO THICKEN.
ANY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15  14  14  14  15  18  20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  44  46  47  48  48  48
RH..............48  41  38  35  34  33  33
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  20  20
SMOKE DISP......400 500 400 400 500 500 500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........22  25  26  28  31  35  39  42  44  47  53  60
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TEMP............47  45  43  41  38  36  34  33  32  31  31  31
RH..............34  36  39  44  50  56  61  66  69  72  72  75
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH
REQUESTED BY...J  ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140419.MAPLE.01/APX






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