Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 231314
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
614 AM MST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO
THE GREAT BASIN. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MOUNTAIN RIDGES, WITH
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS EAST OF THE DIVIDE. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........48%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 5000 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900, THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100, THEN VERY GOOD
                    UNTIL 1200, THEN EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 2300, THEN
                    CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
MAX HUMIDITY........74%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MIN HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100 AND 5000 FT
                    AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400, THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600, THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS
5-10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/23-08 97 70 53 30 56 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 60  2506 WSW 25 54575  F
01/23-09 97 65 45 31 56 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 52  3216 WSW 30 83392   G
01/23-10 97 61 39 34 49 WSW  9 14 2 1 WSW 43  3925 WSW 35118107    V
01/23-11 97 63 42 35 50 WSW 13 21 2 1 WSW 35  4635 WSW 39158720     E
01/23-12 96 65 45 36 48 WSW 13 20 2 1 WSW 39  5007 WSW 37162658     E
01/23-13 96 67 48 36 50 WSW 13 20 3 1   W 43  5379 WSW 36165287     E
01/23-14 95 67 48 35 52 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 47  5751 WSW 33166609     E
01/23-15 95 66 47 34 54 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 48  5623 WSW 35169171     E
01/23-16 95 65 45 33 56 WSW  8 14 3 1 WSW 49  5495 WSW 36171446     E
01/23-17 96 64 44 35 52  SW  6  6 3 1 WSW 51  5366 WSW 37173435     E
01/23-18 97 64 44 32 56 WSW  8 13 3 1 WSW 43  4355 WSW 32120302    V
01/23-19 99 63 42 29 63 WSW  8 13 4 1 WSW 35  3344 WSW 26 76666   G
01/23-20 98 65 45 26 68   W 10 16 4 1 WSW 26  2333 WSW 21 42528  F
01/23-21 98 66 47 24 68   W 14 22 4 1 WSW 30  2482 WSW 24 51120  F
01/23-22 98 68 50 23 71   W 14 22 3 1 WSW 32  2632 WSW 26 60420   G
01/23-23 89 51 27 22 71   W 17 28 3 1 WSW 36  2781 WSW 29 70426   G
01/24-00 89 51 27 21 71   W 18 29 3 1   W 33  2667   W 30 68876   G
01/24-01 89 51 27 20 74   W 18 30 3 1   W 30  2553   W 30 67210   G
01/24-02 87 52 28 20 71   W 17 26 3 1 WNW 26  2439   W 31 65429   G
01/24-03 87 52 28 19 71   W 15 24 3 1 WNW 28  2309   W 29 57597  F
01/24-04 87 52 28 19 67   W 14 21 4 1  NW 28  2180   W 26 50253  F
01/24-05 84 52 28 19 62   W 12 18 4 1  NW 29  2051   W 24 43397  F
01/24-06 84 52 28 18 61   W 12 17 4 1  NW 31  1827   W 20 31868 P
01/24-07 84 52 28 17 62   W 10 17 3 1  NW 33  1604   W 16 22002 P
01/24-08 84 52 28 17 61   W 10 16 3 1  NW 36  1380   W 12 13513 P
01/24-09 84 52 28 18 61   W 10 16 3 1  NW 35  2445 WNW 14 29864 P
01/24-10 84 52 28 20 59 WNW  9 15 3 1  NW 35  3511 WNW 17 51375  F
01/24-11 94 51 27 21 59 WNW  9 15 3 1  NW 33  4576 WNW 20 78045   G
01/24-12 94 51 27 23 55 WNW  9 15 3 1  NW 32  5055 WNW 21 88509   G
01/24-13 94 51 27 23 54 WNW  9 15 3 1 WNW 30  5535 WNW 21 99406   G
01/24-14 94 51 27 23 52  NW  9 15 3 1 WNW 29  6015 WNW 21110735    V
01/24-15 94 51 27 22 53 WNW  9 14 3 1  NW 29  5406 WNW 22101294    V
01/24-16 94 51 27 20 56 WNW  8 14 3 1  NW 29  4797  NW 22 91453   G
01/24-17 89 32 11 18 59 WNW  8 13 3 1  NW 30  4187  NW 22 81212   G
01/24-18 89 32 11 16 62 WNW  8  8 3 1  NW 30  3416  NW 20 59354  F
01/24-19 89 32 11 14 66 WNW  7  7 3 1 NNW 29  2644  NW 17 40610  F
01/24-20 89 32 11 13 67   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 29  1872  NW 15 24979 P
01/24-21 89 32 11 11 72   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 28  1686 WNW 14 19873 P
01/24-22 89 32 11 10 74   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 26  1500 WNW 12 15346 P
01/24-23 88 27  7 10 73   W  8 13 3 1  NW 25  1313 WNW 10 11398 P
01/25-00 88 27  7  9 74   W  9 14 3 1 NNW 23  1323   W 10 12516 P
01/25-01 88 27  7  8 74   W  9 15 3 1 NNW 21  1333   W 12 13650 P
01/25-02 88 27  7  8 73   W 10 16 3 1 NNW 18  1343   W 13 14799 P
01/25-03 88 27  7  9 69   W 10 17 3 1 NNW 17  1520   W 14 18840 P
01/25-04 88 27  7 10 66   W 10 17 3 1 NNW 15  1698   W 16 23368 P
01/25-05 85 19  4 10 66   W 10 16 3 1 NNW 13  1875   W 17 28383 P
01/25-06 85 19  4  9 68   W 10 16 3 1 NNW 12  1731   W 18 27548 P
01/25-07 85 19  4  8 69   W 10 16 3 1 NNW  9  1587   W 20 26490 P
01/25-08 85 19  4  8 69   W 10 16 3 1 NNW  8  1444   W 20 25210 P
01/25-09 85 19  4 10 66   W 10 16 3 1  NW  8  2222   W 22 42965  F
01/25-10 85 19  4 14 58   W 10 16 3 1 WNW  9  3001   W 24 63631   G
01/25-11 74 24  5 17 53   W 10 16 3 1   W  9  3780   W 26 87208   G
01/25-12 74 24  5 20 49   W 10 16 3 1   W 16  4680   W 26109774    V
01/25-13 74 24  5 21 47   W 10 17 3 1   W 24  5580   W 28133035    V
01/25-14 74 24  5 21 47   W 10 16 3 1   W 31  6480   W 28156989     E
01/25-15 74 24  5 19 49   W 10 16 3 1   W 36  5564   W 26126235    V
01/25-16 74 24  5 16 53   W  9 15 3 1   W 40  4649   W 24 98303   G
01/25-17 66 10  2 14 56   W  9 15 3 1   W 45  3734   W 23 73194   G
01/25-18 65 10  2 13 58   W  9 14 3 1   W 43  3678   W 24 76969   G
01/25-19 62 10  2 12 60   W  8 14 2 1 WNW 40  3622   W 25 80596   G
01/25-20 60 10  2 12 61   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 38  3566   W 28 84074   G
01/25-21 56 10  2 11 63   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 39  3181   W 26 74670   G
01/25-22 47 10  2 10 65   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 39  2796   W 26 65346   G
01/25-23 43  6  1  9 66   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 40  2411   W 26 56102  F
01/26-00 43  6  1  9 64   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 36  2279   W 26 52657  F
01/26-01 42  6  1  9 62   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 32  2147   W 26 49254  F
01/26-02 41  6  1  9 60   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 28  2014   W 26 45894  F
01/26-03 41  6  1  9 60   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26  2135   W 26 49511  F
01/26-04 40  6  1  9 62   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 24  2255   W 28 53227  F
01/26-05 39  1  0  9 63   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 22  2375   W 28 57041  F

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN FAITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700486.3/BOU



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