Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 241526
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE/PARKS AND OPEN SPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
810 AM MST MON NOV 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA TODAY IN COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL BRING
WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW.  THE CHANCE OF
SNOW WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING BUT STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
AS A RESULT...A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
                    A CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-29%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 6700-7700 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9400-10400 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1600...THEN 6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL
                    1900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18.
MAX HUMIDITY........54%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH UNTIL
                    0200...THEN 18-32 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1000-1700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1800. POOR AFTER 1900.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30%.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 27-34 MPH UNTIL
                    0800...THEN 27-41 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

11/24-08 76 10  2 31 35   W 20 33 4 1  NW 30  2067 WNW 31 54931  F
11/24-09 74 10  2 32 35 WNW 18 32 4 1  NW 30  4095 WNW 31107214    V
11/24-10 75 10  2 33 34 WNW 17 30 4 1  NW 31  6122  NW 30159497     E
11/24-11 75 10  2 35 32  NW 17 30 4 1  NW 31  8150  NW 30211779     E
11/24-12 75 17  3 36 30  NW 17 30 4 1  NW 32  9294  NW 29241380     E
11/24-13 75 21  4 36 29  NW 18 31 4 1 NNW 32 10439  NW 28270981     E
11/24-14 75 25  5 35 29  NW 18 31 4 1 NNW 33 11583  NW 25300582     E
11/24-15 82 25  5 32 33  NW 17 30 4 1 NNW 33  8835  NW 24221242     E
11/24-16 88 19  4 28 39  NW 16 28 3 1 NNW 33  6086 NNW 23141902    V
11/24-17 86 10  2 25 44  NW 15 25 3 1   N 33  3338 NNW 22 62562   G
11/24-18 73  7  1 23 47  NW 15 24 3 1 NNW 32  2891  NW 20 51128  F
11/24-19 59  7  1 22 48 WNW 14 24 3 1 NNW 31  2445  NW 18 39693 P
11/24-20 45  4  1 21 49 WNW 14 23 3 1 NNW 30  1999  NW 16 28259 P
11/24-21 39  1  0 20 51 WNW 13 21 3 1 NNW 28  1709 WNW 16 23565 P
11/24-22 32  1  0 19 52   W 12 18 4 1 NNW 25  1418 WNW 15 18872 P
11/24-23 26  1  0 18 54   W 10 17 4 1 NNW 23  1127   W 15 14179 P
11/25-00 28  1  0 18 53   W 12 20 4 1 NNW 28  1078   W 17 15570 P
11/25-01 29  1  0 18 52   W 14 23 5 1 NNW 32  1029   W 20 16961 P
11/25-02 31  1  0 18 51   W 17 29 5 1 NNW 37   980   W 22 18353 P
11/25-03 32  1  0 18 50   W 21 36 5 1 NNW 35   996   W 24 21004 P
11/25-04 42  0  0 19 47   W 25 44 4 1 NNW 32  1012   W 26 23654 P
11/25-05 63 10  2 19 47   W 30 51 4 1   N 31  1027   W 30 26305 P
11/25-06 73 10  2 20 47   W 35 58 4 1 NNW 31  1158   W 32 32603 P
11/25-07 73 10  2 22 47   W 38 64 5 1 NNW 32  1288   W 35 38900 P
11/25-08 73 10  2 25 46   W 43 73 5 1 NNW 32  1419   W 37 45198  F
11/25-09 73 10  2 29 42   W 45 73 4 1 NNW 38  1729   W 38 58359  F
11/25-10 73 10  2 34 36   W 46 74 4 1 NNW 46  2040   W 40 71520   G
11/25-11 82 17  3 38 32   W 46 74 3 1 NNW 54  2350   W 41 84680   G
11/25-12 82 17  3 40 31   W 44 70 3 1 NNW 61  2546 WNW 40 89115   G
11/25-13 82 17  3 41 30   W 40 64 3 1 NNW 66  2741 WNW 39 93550   G
11/25-14 82 17  3 41 30   W 37 59 3 1  NW 68  2936 WNW 38 97985   G
11/25-15 82 17  3 39 33   W 33 54 3 1  NW 68  2652 WNW 36 82819   G
11/25-16 82 17  3 38 35   W 30 48 3 1  NW 66  2368 WNW 32 67653   G
11/25-17 81 20  4 36 38   W 28 44 3 1  NW 64  2084 WNW 29 52488  F
11/25-18 81 20  4 35 41   W 25 41 3 1 NNW 68  1828 WNW 26 43033  F
11/25-19 81 20  4 34 45   W 24 39 3 1 NNW 71  1571 WNW 24 33579 P
11/25-20 81 20  4 33 49   W 23 37 3 1 NNW 76  1315 WNW 21 24125 P
11/25-21 81 20  4 32 53   W 23 36 3 1 NNW 78  1302 WNW 22 24815 P
11/25-22 81 20  4 31 57   W 22 35 2 1 NNW 79  1289 WNW 23 25506 P
11/25-23 71 17  3 31 58   W 21 33 2 1 NNW 79  1275 WNW 24 26196 P
11/26-00 71 17  3 30 62   W 17 28 2 1 NNW 81  1294 WNW 23 25524 P
11/26-01 71 17  3 30 63   W 14 23 2 1 NNW 81  1313 WNW 22 24851 P
11/26-02 71 17  3 30 63   W 12 18 2 1 NNW 78  1332 WNW 21 24178 P
11/26-03 71 17  3 30 63   W 12 18 2 1 NNW 73  1323 WNW 20 23002 P
11/26-04 71 17  3 31 60   W 13 21 2 1  NW 63  1315 WNW 20 21827 P
11/26-05 63 10  2 31 61   W 14 22 2 1  NW 54  1306 WNW 18 20651 P
11/26-06 63 10  2 31 63   W 14 22 2 1  NW 48  1220 WNW 17 17973 P
11/26-07 63 10  2 32 63   W 14 22 2 1  NW 43  1133   W 15 15295 P
11/26-08 63 10  2 33 64   W 14 22 2 1 NNW 40  1047   W 14 12617 P
11/26-09 63 10  2 37 56   W 14 22 2 1 NNW 43  1950 WNW 18 38697 P
11/26-10 63 10  2 41 50   W 14 22 2 1  NW 47  2853 WNW 23 64776   G
11/26-11 54  5  1 45 43   W 14 22 2 1  NW 52  3756 WNW 28 90856   G
11/26-12 54  5  1 47 41   W 14 23 2 1  NW 55  3834 WNW 28 93427   G
11/26-13 54  5  1 48 39   W 15 23 2 1 NNW 56  3913 WNW 29 95999   G
11/26-14 54  5  1 48 39   W 15 24 2 1 NNW 55  3991 WNW 29 98571   G
11/26-15 54  5  1 46 41   W 16 25 2 1 NNW 51  3282 WNW 26 77789   G
11/26-16 54  5  1 44 43   W 17 26 3 1 NNW 45  2572 WNW 24 57007  F
11/26-17 39  3  1 42 45   W 17 28 3 1 NNW 39  1863 WNW 22 36225 P
11/26-18 39  3  1 40 47   W 17 28 3 1 NNW 37  1681   W 23 33343 P
11/26-19 39  3  1 39 48   W 17 26 3 1 NNW 37  1500   W 23 30461 P
11/26-20 39  3  1 38 48   W 16 25 3 1 NNW 36  1319   W 24 27579 P
11/26-21 39  3  1 36 50   W 15 24 3 1 NNW 31  1185   W 23 23737 P
11/26-22 39  3  1 34 51   W 15 23 4 1 NNW 26  1050   W 22 19895 P
11/26-23 32  3  1 33 51   W 14 22 4 1 NNW 24   916   W 21 16053 P
11/27-00 32  3  1 32 52   W 14 22 4 1 NNW 26   924   W 21 16189 P
11/27-01 32  3  1 32 50   W 13 21 4 1 NNW 31   932   W 21 16325 P
11/27-02 32  3  1 32 49   W 13 21 4 1 NNW 35   941   W 21 16461 P
11/27-03 32  3  1 32 48   W 13 20 4 1 NNW 33   926   W 18 15302 P
11/27-04 32  3  1 33 46   W 12 20 4 1  NW 30   912   W 17 14143 P
11/27-05 31  1  0 33 47   W 12 18 4 1  NW 26   898   W 16 12984 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...COOPER
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141124.WAPIT.01/BOU


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