Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FNUS73 KGID 021545
FWSGID

SPOT FORECAST FOR KIRWIN NORTH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1045 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 CDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT IGNITION TIME...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION COMES THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

FOR THE MOST PART...WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY...TOPPING OUT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE MAY BE TIMES
WHERE SPEEDS ARE LIGHTER...AND THUS THE DIRECTION MAY BE MORE
VARIABLE.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB...AND BY MIDDAY SHOULD BE
NEAR 60 DEGREES...WITH HIGHS EXPECTED IN THE MID 60S. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE LOWER-MID 30 PERCENT
RANGE BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64 NEAR 4 PM.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT NEAR 4 PM.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWESTERLY WINDS TOPPING OUT AROUND 10
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-7400 FT AGL
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........14     16     21     34     50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52     57     61     63     64
RH..............63     47     39     36     37
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO
                    6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........52     50     49     46     44     42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62     56     50     46     44     40
RH..............39     51     67     73     80     92
20 FT WIND......N 3    E 4    S 4    S 4    S 3    SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 16 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........38     36     34     29     28     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40     52     63     68     71     72
RH..............92     63     44     36     32     31
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 3    N 3    N 4    NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...ANDY SCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.KIRWI.01/GID



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