Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 231734
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Big Red Fire...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1134 AM MDT Wed Aug 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1500 MDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Unsettled weather will continue today as a disturbance lifts to
the northeast. This wave in the upper level flow will bring
increased clouds and showers and as well as cooler temperatures.
Slightly drier air will begin to move in on Thursday as weak
northwesterly flow sets up aloft but lingering moisture will allow
for another round of diurnal storms in the afternoon and evening
hours. Periods of heavy rain, lightning, and gusty outflow winds
to 40 mph will be the main threats from storms.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Isolated showers through
                    the late morning, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....66-71 F.
Min humidity........34-39%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 MPH, becoming west after
                    noon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to good after noon.
Haines Index........4 low.
LAL.................4.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL, increasing to 10100 ft AGL by
                    1500.
Transport winds.....West 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%), then becoming partly
                    cloudy (30-40%) after midnight. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....41-46 F.
Max humidity........82-87%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 3 to 5 MPH. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good, decreasing to poor (10000 knot-ft) around
                    2300.
Haines Index........4 low.
LAL.................4, decreasing to 1 after midnight.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 1200 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....63-68 F.
Min humidity........26-31%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 10 MPH. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29000 knot-ft), increasing to very good
                    around noon.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................4.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 11400 ft AGL around 1500.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Megan Stackhouse
Requested by...Brandon Duncan
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714625.5/GJT
.EMAIL craiginteragency@gmail.com



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