Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 271252
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR BROHMAN UNIT D...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
852 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY INTO
FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS COLD
FRONT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........81 AT IGNITION...MAX 86.
RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6700-7200 FT AGL...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-500 (POOR) THROUGH MID MORNING... INCREASING
                    TO 500-1000 BY AFTERNOON (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........28     48     59     70     74
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............79     83     85     84     81
RH..............69     61     53     53     60
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 6    W 7    W 7    NW 7
20 FT GUST......10     10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.
RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH
                    TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-500 (POOR TO GOOD).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7000 FT
                    AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...MEADE
REQUESTED BY...BEN WAGNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160727.BROHM.01/GRR


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