Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FNUS74 KHUN 111732
FWSHUN

SPOT FORECAST FOR FREEDOM FIRE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1132 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0751 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REDUCE RH VALUES THRU THIS AFTERNOON. MIN
VALUES AT THE WILDFIRE LOCATION SHOULD BE AROUND ~30 PERCENT DURING
PEAK MIXING, ALTHOUGH THIS COULD VARY A BIT DUE TO A MOISTURE
GRADIENT IN THE AREA.

DRY WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED TODAY WITH A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY. 20 FOOT
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT EASTERLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL PEAK OUT AT AROUND 2600 FT AGL.  FAIR SMOKE
DISPERSION VALUES ARE INDICATED. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE
UPPER 20S TONIGHT.  A WARMER AND DRY DAY IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH
LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW DURING THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST AT
5-10 MPH AROUND MIDDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE AREA.
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CLIMB ABOVE 3000 FT AGL ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON
WITH GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION VALUES INDICATED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     49     52     48
RH..............41     30     39     44
20 FT WIND DIR..060    060    060    050
20 FT WIND SPD..8      8      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1700   2400   2600   2300
TRANSP WIND DIR.060    060    060    060
TRANSP WIND SPD.9      10     10     12
DISPERSION IDX..20     31     34     34
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     37     34     31     29     27
RH..............47     67     75     85     88     92
20 FT WIND DIR..050    070    070    080    090    100
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      5      5      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST.10                          5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   900    400    500    500    400
TRANSP WIND DIR.060    060    070    080    080    070
TRANSP WIND SPD.13     12     12     10     7      5
DISPERSION IDX..33     14     6      7      3      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO
                    7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............26     30     39     47     51     51
RH..............92     85     64     49     41     41
20 FT WIND DIR..100    000    320    310    310    320
20 FT WIND SPD..3      3      3      6      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    1400   3200   3700   3600
TRANSP WIND DIR.060    300    270    310    310    310
TRANSP WIND SPD.2      1      7      15     14     14
DISPERSION IDX..1      1      3      59     62     60
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...KULA
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160211.FREED.01/HUN



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