Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS73 KJKL 021725
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR TEST TEST...NWS JKL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1225 PM EST TUE FEB 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON FEBRUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
TEST...TEST

.TODAY...

CWR.................10 PERCENT.
VENT RATE...........FAIR /14100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /33300 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT
                    (55000-70400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 51.
LVORI...............3.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
LAL.................1.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG LATE AT NIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 18 TO
                    25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500-2100 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RH..................86 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT.
ADI.................14 INCREASING TO 61.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........69     67     69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53     59     66
DEWPOINT........49     52     52
RH..............86     78     61
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 8   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   2100   3200
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12  S 18   S 25
LVORI...........3      3      1
ADI.............18     36     63
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4
VRATE KT-FT/100014     33     70

.TONIGHT...

CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50.
LVORI...............3.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT.
ADI.................26 DECREASING TO 19 LATE.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........65     70     89     94     97     99
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............62     60     59     58     57     57
DEWPOINT........51     50     49     49     50     49
RH..............67     69     69     72     77     75
20 FT WIND......S 12   S 12   S 12   S 14   S 15   S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     30     30     35     30
MIX HGT (FT)....1900   1400   1100   1100   1100   1200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 24   S 22   S 20   S 20   S 21   S 22
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      3
ADI.............28     24     18     18     19     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      3      3
VRATE KT-FT/100041     26     18     20     21     22

.WEDNESDAY...

CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
VENT RATE...........FAIR TO EXCELLENT (22700-71400 KNOT-FT)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (80100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DEWPOINT............49 DECREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............3.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0700...THEN 2 UNTIL 1000...THEN 1.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 20 MPH LATE AT NIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    AT NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-3600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
ADI.................34 INCREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 36 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 52 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 65.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........100    93     73     51     42     35
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC
TEMP............56     54     56     58     58     57
DEWPOINT........51     50     47     44     40     37
RH..............83     86     72     59     51     47
20 FT WIND......SW 12  SW 9   SW 8   SW 10  SW 12  W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.30     20     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   1500   2300   2000   2200   3400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 22   S 22   W 22   SW 18  SW 18  SW 24
LVORI...........4      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.............31     36     46     35     39     62
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2      3      4      2
VRATE KT-FT/100023     28     44     31     37     71

$$
FORECASTER...JP
REQUESTED BY...NWS JKL TEST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1500018.1/JKL


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