Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 291421
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEETWATER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
921 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0853 CDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE HIGH TODAY AND OVERALL WINDS ON THE LIGHT
SIDE. THUS THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE BURN SITE TODAY WILL BE THE
POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.

A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN SEEN IN GARLAND
AND SALINE COUNTIES THIS MORNING...TO THE EAST OF THE BURN SITE.
HOWEVER AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THUS THERE IS A GOOD
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AT...OR IN THE VICINITY OF...THE BURN
SITE. SURFACE AND 20 FT WINDS WILL BE LARGELY OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST...THOUGH SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT TODAY.
HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS IN/NEAR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........79 AT REQUEST...MAX 91.
RH..................94 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 56 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 7800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 6724 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LVORI...............1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............76  79  81  84  86  88  90  90  91  91
RH..............94  85  77  70  65  61  58  58  56  56
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   3
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 72.
RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 7900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 6679 FT MSL.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LVORI...............1.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
TEMP............90  89  84  81  79  78  77  76  76  75  75  74
RH..............58  61  70  77  82  82  85  87  87  88  88  90
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.                                5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   2   3   5   7   8   9   9   9   8   8   8
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  30  30  30  30  30  30  40  40  40  40  40

.SATURDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91.
RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 7200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 8765 FT MSL.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LVORI...............1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............74  74  77  80  83  85  87  89  90  90  90  89
RH..............91  90  84  78  72  66  61  58  57  57  57  59
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5       5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   8   7   6   6
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40

$$
FORECASTER...C DALTON
REQUESTED BY...USFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160729.SWEET.01/LZK


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