Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 111847
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Whitely...NPS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1247 PM CST Mon Dec 11 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 CST on December 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Very low dewpoints will continue this afternoon, along with
gusty west to northwest winds. Wind speeds will start to diminish
a bit after sunset, but will still remain stronger than usual at 7
to 15 mph with occasional gusts.

.REST OF TODAY...

Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 12 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest 23
                    to 26 mph early this afternoon.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......West winds 14 to 21 mph.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........14 increasing to 58.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at request...max 5.
Eye level winds.....West winds 13 to 20 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4966 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41  46  52  57  61  64  66  67  66  61
RH..............25  19  13  12  13  18  18  17  22  25
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  13  15  15  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd gst.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  15  18  23  25  26  25  25  25  26
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 29.
RH..................Max 72 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....North 24 to 33 mph.
Stability class.....D.
20 Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Dispersion..........37 early in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5647 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  48  44  42  40  39  37  36  35  33  32  31
RH..............31  37  43  51  53  57  59  62  64  64  66  69
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  13  13  13  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   6   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.28  30  32  33  33  33  32  31  30  29  26  24
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Temperature.........Max 41.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........35 decreasing to 29 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4849 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............29  30  30  30  32  35  38  38  39  40  39  37
RH..............72  68  67  66  56  48  41  40  38  37  41  46
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.22  21  18  17  15  14  13  13  13  14  15  15
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...D Koch
Requested by...Tim Fondriest
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719788.1/LZK
.EMAIL timothy_fondriest@nps.gov



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