Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 291549
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1049 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 29.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING INCLUDING
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...
AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY
FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR
LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...

.DISCUSSION...

DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AS MIN RH/S WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 TO 12 PERCENT WITH
GUSTY WEST WINDS THROUGH THE EVENING. HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE WINDWARD RIDGES...WITH SLIGHTLY WEAKER WINDS ON LEESIDE
RIDGES. WEST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS IN CANYON
BOTTOMS. HAINES INDEX VALUES WILL PEAK AT 4 THIS AFTERNOON. ONLY
POOR TO FAIR NOCTURNAL RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH LOW END
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDWARD RIDGES 20 TO 25 MPH GUSTING TO 35 MPH.
                    LEESIDE RIDGES 12 TO 17 MPH GUSTING TO 21 MPH.
                    CANYON BOTTOMS 6 TO 10 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (336000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............56        62        66
RH..............19        15        13
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..25        22        20
20 FT WIND GUST.35        32        30
MIX HGT (FT)....5300      8000      10500
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..34        32        33
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    EXCLNT    EXCLNT
LAL.............1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         3         4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (165000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............65        58        54        50
RH..............14        19        25        31
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..18        15        12        8
20 FT WIND GUST.28        25        20        15
MIX HGT (FT)....9100      BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..33        31        26        20
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    POOR      POOR      POOR
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (208000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............46        55        63        67
RH..............40        27        19        16
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         SW        SW
20 FT WIND SPD..19        19        24        25
20 FT WIND GUST.20        25        30        35
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    4100      7700      9500
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..15        16        17        20
VENT CAT........POOR      GOOD      EXCLNT    EXCLNT
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         4

$$

FORECASTER...PHILLIPSON
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160429.GOATR.01/MAF



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