Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 270508
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PONY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1008 PM PDT TUE JUL 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1737 PDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL TROUGH PATTERN WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. EXPECT HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH NORTHEAST WINDS. WEAK
INSTABILITY IS LIKELY TO CREATE A FEW CUMULUS BUILDUPS ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEN A DRY COLD FRONT WILL BRING SLIGHT COOLING
ON THE WEEKEND.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 103 VALLEY TO 90 RIDGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 105 VALLEY TO 95 RIDGE.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING NORTH 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BACKING TO NORTH 5
                    TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...DAMON MCCARTNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160726.PONY_.01/MFR



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