Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 220503
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for North Pelican...USFS Klamath Ranger District
National Weather Service Medford OR
1003 PM PDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PDT on August 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A disturbance will move across the Cascades late
this morning or early afternoon and will help to enhance westerly
winds over the fire area. During this time areas of thunderstorms
will develop over Siskiyou County. These storms are expected to
spread north into the Klamath Basin by late in the day. The fire
area appears to be on the northern edge of the threat area. Chance
of thunderstorms increase as we move into the evening hours. There
is enough instability that storms could continue into the night
although at a much lesser coverage. Thunderstorm threat shifts
farther to the east on Wednesday as another trough approaches from
the West.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy by early afternoon with a slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....73-75.
Min humidity........34 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Upslope winds 1 to 2 mph until early afternoon
                    then West 2 to 3 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds 3 to 5 mph in the morning then
                    West 8 to 10 mph in the afternoon with gusts
                    to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 mph in the morning becoming
                    West around 8 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........72 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL in the evening then decreasing to
                    700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph in the evening then
                    becoming Southwest 5 mph after midnight
CWR.................13 percent.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming
                    partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....71-73.
Min humidity........38 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Upslope winds 1 to 2 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........West winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph in the morning becoming
                    West 8 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................4 percent.
LAL.................2.

$$
Forecaster...BUNNAG
Requested by...SCOFMP IMT3 Team
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714655.1/MFR



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