Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 261248
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Medicine 2...USFS FRF
National Weather Service Medford OR
548 AM PDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...An upper trough will gradually move inland today
and will bring additional thunderstorms to the area. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and
evening over the burn area.  Erratic and strong gusty winds are possible
near thunderstorms with gusts up to around 40 to 50 mph near strong
storms. In addition, gusty southwest to west winds will develop this
afternoon and evening across the area as the system moves through.
Thunderstorms will diminish late this evening and winds will lower.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning, then partly cloudy with
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........15 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Light and variable winds 1-2 mph becoming
                     southwest winds 3 to 4 mph with gusts to 8 mph in
                     the late morning and early afternoon...becoming
                     west in the late afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........South to southwest winds around 5 mph becoming
                     southwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 22 mph in
                     the late morning and early afternoon...becoming
                     west in the late afternoon.
                     Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                      in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1000 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL in the
                     late morning then to 11000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph becoming southwest 15-20 mph
                     in the afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then clear after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........90 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....West to northwest winds 3 to 4 mph with gusts up to
                     8 mph decreasing to 2 to 3 mph around sunset then
                     becoming light and variable 0 to 2 mph overnight.
                     Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                     in the evening.
WIND (20 FT)........West to northwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts up to
                     25 mph decreasing to 6 to 9 mph around sunset then
                     becoming light and variable 1 to 3 mph overnight.
                     Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                     in the evening.
Mixing height.......8000-11000 ft AGL decreasing to 500-700 ft AGL
                     around midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15-20 mph in the evening becoming west
                     10-15 mph around sunset...then west-northwest
                     3-6 mph overnight.
CWR.................12 percent.
LAL.................3.

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...Chris Pellissier
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711623.0/MFR



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