Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 261002
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYWOOD LANDING FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
602 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0556 EDT ON APRIL 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS INITIALLY WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE FIRE AREA THIS
MORNING. WINDS TURN SOUTH SOUTHWEST BY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SEA
BREEZE BECOMES ACTIVE. IT WILL BECOME QUITE GUSTY AS WELL WITH
WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALS WILL BE IN
THE MID 40S PERCENTILE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............4   8   11  10  7   6   8   14  17  14  9   6
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57  59  62  67  72  77  79  81  82  83  82  82
RH..................96  96  87  75  64  54  49  46  44  43  44  44
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   6   6   7   7   9   10  11  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....        10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25
LVORI...............7   6   5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................5   8   8   25  41  52  57  45  49  55  60  62
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............6   6   6   7   11  12  16  24  28  31  38  41
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................80  77  74  72  70  69  68  68  67  66  65  64
RH..................49  54  62  66  71  73  76  73  75  78  81  84
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......11  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
LVORI...............1   2   2   3   3   3   4   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.................54  22  10  10  11  11  10  10  9   6   9   8
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............44  50  53  53  54  55  55  56  56  52  44  40
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................64  65  66  70  74  77  80  82  83  84  84  82
RH..................87  84  84  73  64  58  52  51  49  49  49  53
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....        10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   12  11  16  21  26  33  39  46  52  59  62
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...LONKA
REQUESTED BY...DAVID L NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160426.HAYWO.01/MHX



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