Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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156
FNUS72 KMLB 221232
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for TBSF...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
732 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on January 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

.TODAY...Areas of fog should persist through about mid morning, then
it will become partly sunny and mild with generally good dispersion
developing by afternoon. There will be an increase in cloud cover with
showers likely late tonight into Tuesday and a slight chance of
lightning storms.


Sky/weather.........Areas of fog early in the morning then partly sunny
                    (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL increasing to 1400-2900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 7 mph increasing to 12 to 18 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 50-60 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 6 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 1 in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  50  50  50  50  52  52  52  52  52
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  63  68  70  72  73  75  75  75  74
RH..............99  95  85  79  73  68  64  64  65  67
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.            10  10              10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.9 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.3   10  15  17  18  18  18  17  16  14
Dispersion idx..3   8   10  30  45  55  60  51  42  26
LVORI...........9   6   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Showers likely after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0100, then 1-8 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......300-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....9.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 9.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........52     67     67     67     91     91
Weather cov.....                     CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     60     60     60     60     60
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............71     67     65     65     65     64
RH..............74     86     89     94     95     99
20 ft wind......SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   S 5    S 5    S 6
20 ft wind gust.10
Mix hgt (ft)....900    400    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..SE 10  SE 7   SE 7   S 6    S 6    S 6
Dispersion idx..13     6      6      5      5      5
LVORI...........3      5      6      6      7      8

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
                    in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1300, then No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 17 in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 9 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........91        85        85        80
Weather cov.....LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60        40        40        40
LAL.............2         2         2         1
Temp............64        67        71        72
RH..............99        90        81        76
20 FT wind......S 5       S 7       SW 10     W 9G10
Mix hgt (ft)....300       300       1400      1600
Transport wind..S 6       S 7       SW 10     W 9
Dispersion idx..5         4         16        15
LVORI...........9         6         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Lascody
Requested by...Jason Longfellow
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800344.4/MLB
.EMAIL jason.longfellow@freshfromflorida.com



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