Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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150
FNUS74 KMOB 061351
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 390...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
751 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT FLOW IN THE MIXING LAYER IS EXPECTED MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE A RE-ENFORCING FRONT CROSSES THE BURN AREA MID
AFTERNOON. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED THE NEXT THREE DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3700 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 INCREASING TO  11 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 54 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........31     38     45     30     22
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............34     46     53     57     55
RH................70     47     31     27     31
20 FT WIND DIR....N      NNE    N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....1      3      5      7      9
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    2900   5200   5700   3700
MIX HGT (M).......60     880    1580   1740   1130
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...2      6      7      9      12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      3      3      4      6
DISPERSION........0      19     44     54     37
LVORI.............6      2      1      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........19     9      3      2      1      1
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............48     42     38     35     32     29
RH................42     52     62     69     75     83
20 FT WIND DIR....N      N      NNW    NNW    NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      4      4      4      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1700   1300   900    200    200    200
MIX HGT (M).......520    400    270    60     60     60
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      N      N      N      N      NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      6      6      5      5      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      3      3      2      2      2
DISPERSION........6      5      2      2      2      2
LVORI.............2      2      3      3      3      5
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON..THEN DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....0 INCREASING TO 30 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...
                    THEN DECREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........0      4      6      9      9      9
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............29     37     47     54     57     55
RH................80     59     42     34     32     37
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW    N      NNW    WNW    W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....1      2      3      5      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    300    2200   3900   4400   2800
MIX HGT (M).......30     90     670    1190   1340   850
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    NNW    WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      6      6      6      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      2      3      3      3      2
DISPERSION........0      2      15     26     30     18
LVORI.............4      4      2      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...RYAN BARNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160206.CHICK.01/MOB



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