Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FNUS73 KMPX 201551
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Rapids Lake Unit 3...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
951 AM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on November 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High overcast skies will prevail throughout the day
today. No precipitation expected. South winds this morning will
become southwest this afternoon and increase to 10-15mph with
gusts to around 20 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........38 at ignition...Max 51.
RH..................64 percent at ignition...Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 300-2000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 24 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /39200 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........6 or high at ignition...max 6.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Temp............38  44  48  50  51  50  49  46
RH..............64  55  47  46  46  46  48  55
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   9   10  10  10  9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  15  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.0 1.7 1.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  20  22  23  23  23  24  25
Mixing wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.15  20  22  23  23  23  24  25
Haines index....6   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
SDspl kt-ft/10003   4   5   16  28  39  36  32

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 24.
RH..................Max 78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 2600-3100 ft AGL
                    early in the morning.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 25 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 38 mph.
Mixing winds........West 16 to 25 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 38 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (3500-42000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (61700 knot-ft) early in the morning.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Temp............44     41     39     38     34     29
RH..............57     65     67     67     75     78
20 ft wind......SW 9   SW 8   SW 8   W 9    W 10   NW 12
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     20     30
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   600    400    600    1600   2600
Transport wind..SW 25  SW 18  SW 17  W 24   NW 31  NW 37
Mixing wind.....SW 25  SW 18  SW 17  W 24   NW 31  NW 37
Haines index....5      5      5      4      4      3
SDspl kt-ft/100026     9      5      12     42     83

.TUESDAY...

Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph decreasing to 25 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
20 ft wind......NW 15  NW 16  NW 17  NW 17  NW 17  NW 14
20 ft wind gust.30     35     35     30     30     25

$$
Forecaster...CALDERONE
Requested by...Dan Paulson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719027.0/MPX
.EMAIL daniel_paulson@fws.gov


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.