Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 251152
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Weather Station Burn...Michigan DNR
National Weather Service Marquette MI
752 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Skies will remain mostly cloudy this morning into the
afternoon hours. Then this afternoon through tonight chances for
rain steadily increase. The best chances for rain will be late this
evening, but a few widely scattered showers will be possible this
afternoon. Mixing heights will generally be around 1100 ft agl with a
slight increase this afternoon to near 2000 ft agl.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....49 at ignition...Max 59.
Min humidity........66 percent at ignition...Min 52 percent.
33-foot winds.......Winds southeast at 15 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 8 to 13
                    mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 31 mph.
Ventilation index...Fair (244) at ignition. Max...excellent (604)
                    decreasing to poor (94) early in the evening.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1100-2900
                    ft AGL decreasing to 300-700 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Haines Index........3...or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........65  66  67  69  70  73  75  78  80  83
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............49  53  55  56  57  58  59  59  57  55
RH..............66  60  56  54  54  52  52  52  55  60
33 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
33 ft wind spd..15  16  16  16  14  14  14  11  11  11
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind spd..12  13  13  13  11  11  11  9   9   9
Wind gust.......18  21  21  21  20  20  20  15  15  15
VIndx kt-ft/100.244 355 468 573 604 494 351 235 157 94
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.26  25  24  24  24  23  21  20  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.3
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain by late evening.
                    Light rain likely after midnight. Chance of
                    rain 70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Min 44.
Max humidity........Max 100 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 4 to 8 mph.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 27 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph
                    through mid morning.
Ventilation index...Poor (23).
Mixing height.......200-300 ft AGL.
Haines Index........3...or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.20 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........85  87  88  90  92  93  95  96  97  98  98  99
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Temp............52  50  49  47  46  46  45  45  45  45  45  44
RH..............67  73  79  84  89  93  95  97  97  97  99  100
33 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
33 ft wind spd..10  10  10  7   7   7   6   6   6   8   8   8
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6
Wind gust.......15  15  15  8   8   8   7   7   7   10  10  10
VIndx kt-ft/100.48  39  36  35  38  40  45  43  43  43  48  55
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  20  17  15  16  17  20  20  20  20  22  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Light rain likely through mid
                    afternoon, then a chance of light rain early in
                    the evening. Chance of rain 70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Max 57.
Min humidity........Min 81 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....South 24 to 43 mph increasing to 23 to 47 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Poor (85).
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Haines Index........3...or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.54 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
Sky (%).........100    99     97     95     97     98
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Temp............44     47     52     55     56     55
RH..............100    98     88     81     82     84
33 ft wind......E 12   E 12   SE 14  SE 14  SE 14  SE 12
20 ft wind......E 10   E 10   SE 11  SE 11  SE 11  SE 10
Wind gust.......13     13     15     16     16     15
VIndx kt-ft/100.63     75     83     85     80     70
Transport wind..S 29   S 35   S 38   S 39   S 37   S 32
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    300    300    300    300
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Beachler
Requested by...Scott Lakosky
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707722.0/MQT



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