Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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FNUS75 KMSO 021935
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR PILGRIM UNIT 18
National Weather Service Missoula MT
135 PM MDT MON MAY 2 2016

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 MDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will have a strong hold over the
proposed burn site today and Tuesday with warm temperatures, low
humidities, and light, mainly terrain driven winds. Wednesday is
also expected to be very warm, possibly warmer than Tuesday with
high pressure to begin to break down. Increasing cloud cover is
likely on Wednesday with chances for thunderstorms late in the
day.

Changes come on Thursday with increasing chances for showers and
thunderstorms through the day. Highest chances look to be during
the afternoon and evening, and winds will likely increase in the
evening and overnight with a cold front. Winds will shift to
easterly and potentially quite gusty on Friday with a 10 or more
degree temperature drop from Thursday and higher humidities.


.Today...

* Sky/Weather.........Sunny.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....62-67.
* Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 6-7 mph becoming northeast around 5
  mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......Less than 100 ft agl increasing to 5500 ft
  agl in the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Min Temperature.....50-54.
* Max Humidity........40-45 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph.
* Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl decreasing to less than 100 ft
  agl after sunset.
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph.

.TUESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....65-70.
* Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph.
* Mixing Height.......Less than 100 ft agl increasing to 8000 ft
  agl in the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southeast 5 mph.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 51-61. Highs 65-75. Winds generally less than
5 mph.

.THURSDAY...

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...60 percent. Mostly cloudy with chance of
  rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 47-57.
  Highs 57-67. Variable winds up to 10 mph.

.FRIDAY...

* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent. Mostly cloudy with chance of
  rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 43-53.
  Highs 52-62. Northeast winds 10-15 mph with higher gusts.

$$
FORECASTER...Kitsmiller

REQUESTED BY...Alan Osborn
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.PILGR.01/MSO


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