Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Spokane, WA

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000
FNUS76 KOTX 282248
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRIZZLY COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
348 PM PDT FRI AUG 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1504 PDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SATURDAY 11 AM TO 8 PM FOR WINDS
HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY

LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH THE FIRE THIS EVENING WILL BRING
VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.  A POTENT COLD FRONT WILL BRING
STRONG WINDS SATURDAY.  LIGHT EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN
0300-0600 PDT...BECOME SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AR0UND 0800...THEN SWINGING
AROUND THE SOUTHWEST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE 1000-1100 PDT AND
BECOME QUITE GUSTY.  WINDS WILL BLOW STRONG UNTIL EVENING.  THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LOW BUT ANY CONVECTION COULD
BRING DOWN STRONGER WIND GUSTS.  TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES WILL
LIKELY PEAK NEAR NOON AND COOL/MOISTEN AFTER THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. SUNDAY WILL BE ANOTHER WINDY DAY WITH LOWER SPEEDS
THAN SATURDAY.  THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS SUNDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN.  A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  THE COOLER...BREEZY...
SHOWERY WEATHER PATTERN PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS
                    OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77 NEAR NOON...THEN COOLING INTO THE AFTERNOON
                    TO 69 NEAR 1700 PDT.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT NEAR 1200 PDT...THEN MOISTENING
                    TOWARD 39 PERCENT NEAR 1700 PDT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST WITH FRONTAL
                    PASSAGE BETWEEN 1000 AND 1100 PDT.  WINDS
                    WITH AND BEHIND FRONT INCREASING ON RIDGETOPS
                    15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH.
                    MIDSLOPES SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    BETWEEN 25 AND 40 MPH.  STRONGER GUSTS POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AND COLLAPSING SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE...BECOMING 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST IN THE MORNING 8 TO 11 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AREAS OF SMOKE.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGETOP: SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    TO 6 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
                    MIDSLOPE: SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH...DECREASING 3 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND COLLAPSING SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING NEAR SURFACE IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................2 IN THE EVENING...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGETOP: SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS
                    UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...SB
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150828.GRIZZ.01/OTX



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