Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FNUS74 KOUN 221421
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for C pile burn...USFWS
National Weather Service Norman OK
921 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and maybe a thunderstorm will be possible today with
highest chances through early afternoon. A cold front will move through
the area early Tuesday morning causing winds to shift to the NW before
or right around sunrise.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms.
Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 69.
RH..................72 percent at ignition...Min 57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2400 ft AGL
                    increasing to 4500-4800 ft AGL late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 6600-7800 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon decreasing to 1100-1600
                    ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /27400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /58100 knot-ft/ increasing to excellent (79700
                    knot-ft) early in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to poor (5300 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........85     86     90     91
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Temp............63     66     68     69
RH..............72     63     57     59
20 ft wind......SW 8   W 7    W 7    SW 6
20 ft wind gust.15     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   4800   7800   1100
Transport wind..SW 13  S 14   SW 14  SW 6
VRate ktft/100027     58     94     5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......200-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........91     74     61     61     65     58
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Temp............69     66     62     60     58     55
RH..............61     68     78     81     86     93
20 ft wind......S 6    S 6    SW 5   W 5    W 6    NW 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10                   10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1600   500    200    200    200    300
Transport wind..W 3    N 5    NE 3   S 3    SW 6   W 10
VRate ktft/10005      0      0      1      1      3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Slight chance of rain showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......200-1800 ft AGL increasing to 7600-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1700-50200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (178200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........58        80        71        50
Weather cov.....CHANCE                        S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD                        ISOLTD
Temp............55        60        65        67
RH..............86        69        54        49
20 FT wind......NW 7G10   N 12G15   N 13G20   N 14G20
Mix hgt (ft)....200       1800      5200      7600
Transport wind..NW 12     N 23      N 24      N 23
VRate ktft/10002         50        108       163

$$
Forecaster...MAXWELL
Requested by...Barry Smart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1709867.0/OUN
.EMAIL barry_smart@fws.gov


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