Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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630
FNUS71 KPHI 202227
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRST BIOBLITZ...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
627 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1815 EDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT, GIVING WAY
TO DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE VIRGINIA CAPES LATE SATURDAY, WHICH
WILL PROGRESS NORTHEASTWARD WELL OFFSHORE SUNDAY MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MONDAY SLOWLY MOVES EAST
AND WILL CROSS OUR REGION BY MID WEEK. LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE ACROSS OUR AREA FRIDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE...THEN RAIN
                    LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............53  61  70  78  82  87  91  96  100 100 100 99
WEATHER COV.........                            SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE........                            RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................73  70  68  65  62  61  59  58  57  56  55  53
RH..................37  41  46  52  60  65  69  72  75  77  83  89
20 FT WIND DIR......E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....    10  10  10  10  10  10                  10
CWR.................0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  30  30  50  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  30  30  50  60
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...DECREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............99  99  99  99  99  99  100 100 100 98  95  93
WEATHER COV.........LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  55  56  57  58  59  60  60  60  60  60
RH..................89  90  86  86  83  83  80  81  81  81  81  78
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  20
CWR.................70  90  100 100 100 90  90  90  90  90  80  80
CHC OF PCPN (%).....70  90  100 100 100 90  90  90  90  90  80  80
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
FORECASTER...SZATKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...EUGENE KUZIW
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160520.FRSTB.02/PHI



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