Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 292038
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Beltzville WMA...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
438 PM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will prevail in the Northeast through tomorrow. A
surface low currently in the southern plains will move northeast
to the Ohio Valley by Thursday night and off the Mid-Atlantic
coast by Saturday morning. High pressure will return for the close
of the weekend. Another surface low will approach the region
early next week. High pressure will return briefly by midweek.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind shift..........Northeast early...becoming east by late morning...
                    then southeast by the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 6 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700-3500 ft AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  41  44  47  50  53  56  61  66  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  36  39  42  44  46  48  48  49  49
RH..............68  60  54  48  45  43  40  41  41  41
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A chance of rain
                    early in the evening. Rain likely after
                    midnight.
CWR.................10 percent...increasing to 60 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind shift..........South in the early evening...becoming southeast
                    during the evening and overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1400-3300 ft AGL.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  82  87  89  92  94  95  95  95  95  95  96
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  50  50  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  60
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  50  50  50  50  50  50  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  46  45  44  44  43  42  42  41  40  39  39
RH..............44  47  51  55  57  60  65  67  70  73  76  76
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.                10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.3 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain.
CWR.................60 percent...increasing to 90 percent in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind shift..........Southeast early...becoming east by late morning.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......800-1200 ft AGL.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  97  97  98  98  99  99  100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60  60  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  38  38  38  39  40  40  41  42  42  43  43
RH..............79  82  82  82  82  79  82  82  79  79  79  79
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8

$$

Forecaster...Robertson
Requested by...Michael Beahm
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705490.0/PHI
.EMAIL mbeahm@pa.gov



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