Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 301933
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCO COMPLEX FIRE...EA IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
333 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THE HIGH WILL THEN MOVE OFFSHORE AS LOW PRESSURE ADVANCES UP THE
OHIO VALLEY. THIS LOW WILL AFFECT OUR WEATHER FOR SUNDAY AND INTO
MONDAY MORNING, BRINGING PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN TO THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE AREA LATER MONDAY. AN UNSETTLED
AND POTENTIALLY WET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES MID AND LATE WEEK
WITH SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE IMPACTING THE REGION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NO SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS EXPECTED.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4200 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)          3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............78     82
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56     57
RH..................57     60
20 FT WIND..........SE 7   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....11     9
MIX HGT (FT)........4200   3800
CWR.................0      0
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0
LAL.................1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN
                    LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS MAY BECOME VARIABLE AT TIMES TONIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3500 FT AGL BEFORE SUNSET...DECREASING
                    TO 0-1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............83     84     89     94     99     100
WEATHER COV.........                     S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56     53     50     47     45     44
RH..................57     65     68     72     74     77
20 FT WIND..........S 5    SE 5   SE 5   SE 3   E 3    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....8      10     9      6      6      10
MIX HGT (FT)........3500   2700   1800   700    BLW100 BLW100
CWR.................0      10     10     20     40     60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      10     10     20     40     60
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT EARLY...INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NO SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS EXPECTED.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............100    100    100    100    100    90
WEATHER COV.........PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43     42     42     42     44     44
RH..................83     85     88     84     81     86
20 FT WIND..........SE 6   SE 8   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........400    800    1100   1400   1500   1200
CWR.................80     100    100    100    100    90
CHC OF PCPN (%).....80     100    100    100    100    90
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...KLEIN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HINTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160430.CRESC.02/PHI


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