Text Products for FWS Issued by PUB

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO
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FNUS75 KPUB 171218
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Range 127 Fire...Fort Carson Fire Dpeartment
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
618 AM MDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Another warm and windy day across the fire area today. Stronger
winds should pick up by late morning and last through sunset.
Winds will shift to more northwesterly this evening, then a strong
cold front will push across the burn area around midnight, with
gusty north to northeast winds. Temps will cool and it will likely
become overcast during the predawn hours. No precip of significance
is anticipated. It will be noticeably cooler tomorrow as compared
to today.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....75F.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 14-18 mph until 1200, then southwest
                    19-23 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft agl until 0900. 12000 ft agl after 1000.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. Excellent after 1200.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  34  43  20  26  19  10  24  21  21  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  52  57  65  67  69  71  73  73  74  74
RH..............37  31  27  18  17  15  14  13  13  12  12
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   18  18  18  23  23  23  22  22  22
20 FT wind gust.14  14  26  26  26  35  35  35  35  35  35
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   11  11  11  14  14  14  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   16  16  16  21  21  21  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 2.5 5.0 7.5 9.5 11  12  12  13  12
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   13  16  18  22  24  25  26  26  26
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10004   5   29  71  121 181 220 263 278 288 275

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear until 0300, then mostly cloudy(57
                    percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....39F.
Max humidity........68-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 18-22 mph until 2400, then north
                    with gusts to around 33 mph.
Mixing height.......10500 ft agl until 1900, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 16 mph until 2400, then north
                    around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  9   17  11  7   9   4   4   7   57  57  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  69  65  60  57  55  52  49  47  45  42  41
RH..............13  15  18  23  27  31  38  46  53  60  65  67
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..22  22  22  16  16  16  22  22  22  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.31  31  31  24  24  24  33  33  33  30  30  30
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.13  13  13  10  10  10  13  13  13  12  12  12
Eye lvl wnd gst.19  19  19  14  14  14  20  20  20  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...11  2.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.25  21  21  16  16  16  20  21  22  20  17  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/1000236 39  14  10  8   8   9   12  12  10  9   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(69 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....53F.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 9 mph until 0900, then
                    southeast 11-15 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph until 0700, then southeast
                    around 10 mph until 1100, then south around 14
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Fair after 1600.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  64  74  85  80  76  72  66  61  55  55  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  39  40  42  43  45  46  48  49  51  51  51
RH..............70  73  70  65  61  57  53  50  47  44  40  38
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   12  12  12  14  14  14  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  17  17  17  21  21  21  23  23  23
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   8   8   10  10  10  13  13  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.N   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   13  14  14  14  14  14  15  15
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10005   11  16  17  24  28  31  33  36  39  42  42

$$
Forecaster...HODANISH
Requested by...Mark Anderson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411087.1/PUB
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
