Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 222143
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KENNEDY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
343 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1550 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST MONTANA WILL BRING A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS WILL BE FOUND IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. THE WINDS WILL SWITCH
TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 18 TO 20 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 THIS EVENING...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-9000 THIS EVENING...DECREASING TO
                    400 TO 900 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT THIS EVENING...THEN POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 TO 6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KC
REQUESTED BY...BKF 331
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160722.KENNE.01/UNR


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