Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 202303
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT MON OCT 20 2014

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE OF ALASKA.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER BRISTOL BAY...
WILL BEGIN MOVING SOUTHEAST...AND WILL STATIONED OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF BY TUESDAY... WHERE IT WILL BECOME STATIONARY THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY. THIS LOW WILL USHER IN MOISTURE MAINLY OVER THE
PANHANDLE. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE UP TO 2 INCHES OVER THE
PANHANDLE AND EXTEND UP INTO THE YAKUTAT AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AREAS. DRIER FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL
BE UP TO ONE INCH MAINLY OVER THE PANHANDLE.

THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS... FREEZING LEVELS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WILL RANGE FROM THE SURFACE OVER MOST OF MAINLAND ALASKA TO
2000-6000 FT OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA. DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH
DAY... FREEZING LEVELS OVER SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ALASKA WILL RISE TO 2000-4000 FEET.

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
SPPA2    SNETTISHAM POWER     PP RZ :  1.95
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PP RG :  1.57
ECBA2    EAGLECREST BASE      PP RZ :  1.48
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  1.44
PATO     PORTAGE GLACIER      PP RZ :  1.25
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  1.19
PAPG     PETERSBURG           PP RZ :  1.11
NUCA2    NUCHEK               PC RM :  1.10
PAAP     PORT ALEXANDER       PP RZ :  1.08
KLWA2    HOLLIS               PP RZ :  1.02
PAJK     JUNEAU WFO           PP RZ :  0.94
YESA2    MOUNT ALYESKA        PC RM :  0.90
PAJK     JUNEAU WFO           PC RZ :  0.90
HONA2    HOONAH RAWS          PC RG :  0.89
ZMBA2    ZAREMBO ISLAND SOUTH PC RG :  0.88
PTBA2    POINT BAKER          PP RZ :  0.84
CFSA2    CRAIG FOREST SERVICE PP RZ :  0.84
THBA2    THORNE BAY WATER     PP RZ :  0.81
PANT     ANNETTE              PP RZ :  0.81
META2    AK METLAKATLA 6S     PP RG :  0.80
PAJN     JUNEAU               PP RZ :  0.79
KTAA2    KETCHIKAN 13N        PP RZ :  0.78
JLPA2    JUNEAU LENA POINT    PP RZ :  0.76
PAHN     HAINES LANDING STRIP PP RZ :  0.75
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.74
EYRA2    EYAK RIVER           PP RZ :  0.73
ANXA2    ANNEX CREEK          PP RZ :  0.71
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  0.70
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PC RG :  0.70
EYKA2    MT EYAK              PC RM :  0.70
AUKA2    AUKE BAY LARC        PC RP :  0.70
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PP RG :  0.69
HCSA2    HAINES CUSTOMS       PP RZ :  0.68
PACV     CORDOVA              PP RZ :  0.67
PAGN     ANGOON               PP RZ :  0.62
LRCA2    LITTLE RABBIT CREEK  PC RP :  0.60
PAOH     HOONAH               PP RZ :  0.59
GSTA2    GLACIER BAY NATIONAL PP RZ :  0.59
SIKA2    SITKA CRN            PP RG :  0.56
PECA2    PELICAN              PP RZ :  0.56
GTSA2    GUSTUVUS 2NE         PP RG :  0.55
PASI     SITKA                PP RZ :  0.54
CFCA2    COFFMAN COVE         PP RZ :  0.52
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.51
AHNA2    HAINES #2            PP RZ :  0.51

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER MOST OF THE STATE. THE EXCEPTION IS
SOUTHEAST MAINLAND AND THE PANHANDLE... WHERE INCREASED CHANCES FOR
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
STATE...INCLUDING MUCH OF THE INTERIOR AND THE K/Y PENINSULA.
INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
AKPEN...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS
IN THE FALL.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

KFM


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