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000
AGUS71 KTAR 191533
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1133 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND
INCREASED INSTABILITY BROUGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TUESDAY ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. 24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE TOTALS ACROSS THESE AREAS ENDING
8AM THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING RANGED FROM 0.10 TO 0.50 INCH. HOWEVER
POCKETS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCH TOTALS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WERE NOTED ACROSS NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...CONNECTICUT AND RHODE
ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS. ELSEWHERE DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILED.
:
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF NEW YORK STATE
AND NEW ENGLAND TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
NORTHERN MAINE LATE THURSDAY AND BRING SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS.
:
48 HOUR QPF AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING RANGE FROM NIL ACROSS
MOST OF THE REGION UP TO 0.1 TO 0.2 INCH IN NORTHERN MAINE.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES AT THE CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER, MA. THE
RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS STARTING TO SLOWLY RECEDE. IT IS EXPECTED
TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON THURSDAY NIGHT.  A COUPLE FORECAST
POINTS ARE WITH IN A FOOT OF FLOOD STAGE DUE UP STREAM RESERVOIR
RELEASES BUT THESE WILL STAY BELOW FLOOD.
:
THE RAIN THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY MINOR RISES ON THE RIVERS IN NEW YORK AND
NEW ENGLAND.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATERWATCH WEBSITE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TO
RECORD HIGH LEVELS FOR THIS PERIOD IN MID-JUNE.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DURING THE
NEXT FIVE DAYS IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW YORK.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP.SHTML
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   NORM BINGHAM