High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 271618 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTAN.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 118.4W 977 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 27
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS
100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60
NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS
20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 N
AND 180 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 122.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.4N 128.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH
SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 25N BETWEEN 122W AND 133W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
 .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.6N 133.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.6N 138.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.7N 143.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 15.2N 138.5W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC
AUG 27 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 09N137W TO 14N133W
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 16.7N 140.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF
AREA. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 18N W OF 135W SE
TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 18.8N 143.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
W OF AREA. FROM 12N TO 19N W OF 137W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 20.5N 147.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 21.0N 151.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 21.0N 155.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N118W TO 11N119W TO 11N120W TO 11N121W
TO 09N119W TO 10N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N109W TO 12N114W TO
11N121W TO 09N123W TO 06N114W TO 07N109W TO 09N109W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N110W TO 13N116W TO
13N126W TO 11N131W TO 09N126W TO 08N113W TO 11N110W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT AUG 27...

.HURRICANE LESTER...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM IN
NW AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90
NM OF THE CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 12N95W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 11N108W
THEN TERMINATING NEAR 11N113W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES NEAR
12N119W AND CONTINUES TO 10N125W TERMINATING NEAR 13N132W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE
AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 97W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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