Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FLUS44 KMOB 241115 CCB
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
615 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-251100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
615 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO FIRE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE LATER
THIS MORNING BEFORE ADVANCING INLAND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MODELS
INDICATE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STEEPER LAPSE RATES THAN RECENT
DAYS...AND THEREFORE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS ALSO POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
SHOULD FADE AFTER DARK...HOWEVER A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES...ESPECIALLY THOSE CLOSER TO THE COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE BAHAMAS BY LATE THIS WEEK. LARGE
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING POTENTIAL TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS
DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED IMPACTS TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS THIS SYSTEM
DEVELOPS THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-251100-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
615 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ONGOING OFFSHORE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS STORMS DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHWEST INTO THIS
MORNING. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WATERSPOUTS IN STRONGER CELLS. EXPECT
LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS IN AND AROUND THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE BAHAMAS BY LATE THIS WEEK. LARGE
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING POTENTIAL TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS
DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED IMPACTS TO THE NORTHERN GULF COASTAL
WATERS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS THIS
SYSTEM DEVELOPS THROUGH THE WEEK.

$$



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