Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXCA20 KWBC 021031
PMDCA

TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
631 AM EDT THU OCT 02 2014

PRELIMINARY DISCUSSION FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI. SHALLOW
MOISTURE IS ADVECTING ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES TO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. THE MOIST TONGUE PRECEDES A SAL EVENT/TRADE WIND SURGE
THAT IS QUICKLY SPREADING ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC. TODAY
MIGHT BE OUR LAST CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...AS A
STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL CAP WILL COMBINE WITH DUSTY AIR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SAL TO FAVOR DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS FROM
FRIDAY ONWARD TO TUESDAY MORNING. IN A SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW TODAY...MOST ACTIVE CONVECTION IS TO CLUSTER ACROSS NORTHWEST
PUERTO RICO. FAIR WEATHER IS TO THEN PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
TO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

JN BAPTISTE...MS (SAINT LUCIA)
MEDINA...ONAMET (REPUBLICA DOMINICANA)
DAVISON...WPC (USA)
$$




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