Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 280944
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
543 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 28/1200 UTC THRU AUG 31/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE

CHANGES TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 QPF WERE MOSTLY FOR TIMING OF CURRENT
ORGANIZED AREA OF PRECIPITATION MOVING FROM THE LOWER MO VALLEY
INTO THE MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY.  THE PREVIOUS TIMING WAS
INCREASED SLIGHTLY.  ELSEWHERE---NO CHANGES MADE TO THE PRELIM DAY
1 QPF FOR THE FINAL ISSUANCE.

DAY 1

MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY--LOWER MO VALLEY

WELL DEFINED HEIGHT FALLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS EASTWARD DAY 1
SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS RUNS THERE ARE DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO THE
QPF AXIS IN THE AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM FROM THE LOWER MO VALLEY INTO PORTIONS OF THE MID TO UPPER
MS VALLEY.  DAY 1 QPF CONTINUES TO FAVOR THE SOLUTIONS ON THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE QPF SPREAD GIVEN MODEL BIASES OF BEING TOO
FAR NORTH WITH OVERRUNNING CONVECTIVE EVENTS---ESPECIALLY IN THE
WARM SEASON.  THESE INCLUDE THE NSSL WRF---CMC GEM---GFS---NAM
CONEST AND REFORECAST 2 DATA SET.  WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN TOTALS IN
THE 1-2" RANGE DEPICTED FROM FAR NORTHERN MO---ACROSS CENTRAL TO
EASTERN IA---NORTHWEST IL INTO SOUTHERN WI.

PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS.

MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR LIGHTER TOTALS EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE TRAILING COLD FRONT INTO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO
SOUTHERN PLAINS.  HOWEVER---WITH PW VALUES EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY
HIGH--1.50-1,75"+---LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS POSSIBLE WHERE CONVECTION
DOES ORGANIZE

NORTHERN MN

A SEPARATE MORE NORTHERN STREAM OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL BE
PUSHING EASTWARD FROM SOUTHERN SASK---SOUTHERN MB---CLIPPING FAR
NORTHERN MN AND THE U.P. OF MI. THE 0000 UTC ECMWF HAS TRENDED
WETTER AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS COMPARED TO ITS 1200 UTC RUN
AND IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE CURRENT
GUIDANCE.  MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS POSSIBLE IN A REGION OF
WELL DEFINED UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES.

NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TAKING STRONG NORTHEAST PACIFIC
HEIGHT FALLS THROUGH THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF OFF THE PAC
NW/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST FRIDAY AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD IN A
NEGATIVE TILTED FASHION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY TOWARD
THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND OREGON COASTS.  MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW
VALUES IN THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THESE HEIGHT FALLS
WILL SUPPORT INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES FROM NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FROM THE CASCADES WESTWARD TO THE COAST
RANGES.  UPSLOPE COMPONENT WILL BE LIMITED IN THE SOUTHERLY
ONSHORE FLOW---WITH MODEL CONSENSUS FOR MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS IN
THE .25-.50" RANGE ACROSS THESE AREAS.

FLORIDA---SOUTHEAST AL---SOUTHERN GA

THE ELONGATED UPPER TROF OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL BEGIN TO
RETROGRADE SLOWLY DAY 1 OVER THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF.
1.75-2.00"+ PW VALUES TO THE EAST OF THIS TROF WILL KEEP SHOWERY
CONDITIONS FOR FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST AL AND SOUTHERN GA.
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE
AREAS.  SHOWERS MAY ALSO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL
SECTIONS FROM GA INTO NC--WITH THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINS
REMAINING OFFSHORE.


DAYS 2/3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...

A POTENT LATE SUMMER UPPER TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE NORTHWESTERN
CORRIDOR OF THE COUNTRY THIS WEEKEND AS STRONG HEIGHT FALLS PUSH
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY...THE 500-MB
HEIGHTS ARE APPROXIMATELY 2.5 TO 3 SIGMAS BELOW AVERAGE SHOWING
THE TREMENDOUS STRENGTH OF THIS TROUGH. ADDITIONALLY...THE REGION
WILL AFFECTED BY A PAIR OF MOISTURE SURGES...EACH SETTING THE
STAGE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCTION OVER THE FAVORED TERRAIN. THE
INITIAL SHORTWAVE PUSHING ACROSS THE OLYMPIC RANGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY 850-MB FLOW IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOT RANGE WHICH WILL
LEAD TO HEAVY UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGE AND
WA CASCADES. EVENTUALLY THE PATTERN RELOADS AND THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW
ACCELERATES IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SPEED MAX TRAVERSING THE BROAD
LONGWAVE TROUGH. OVERALL...IN SPITE OF SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES
WITH THE INDIVIDUAL FEATURES...THE 00Z NAM/GFS AND 12Z ECMWF WERE
QUITE SIMILAR IN THE DETERMINISTIC QPF OUTPUT. GIVEN THEIR
HIGHER-RESOLUTION...INCORPORATED THESE SOLUTIONS HEAVILY INTO THE
FORECAST WITH HEAVY PRECIPITATION ON BOTH DAYS OF THE PERIOD. WAS
TEMPTED TO PLACE A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE
WA CASCADES BUT HELD OFF GIVEN THE BELIEF IT WOULD BE MORE OF A
LONG DURATION FLOOD ISSUE.


...LOWER GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET WILL CARRY A SHORTWAVE FROM THE
GREAT LAKES TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. MODELS EXPECT THE FLOW TO
RELAX AS THE IMPULSE FLATTENS RESULTING IN A WEAKENING OF THE LOW
REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE. THE GUIDANCE THAT MAINTAINS A MORE
DISCERNIBLE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TENDED TO BE A BIT HEAVIER WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL BE
MAXIMIZED. AFTER DISCUSSIONS WITH THE WPC MODEL DIAGNOSTICS
FORECASTER...IT WAS BELIEVED THE 12Z ECMWF WAS TOO SLOW WITH
MULTIPLE MODELS SUPPORTING A QUICKER TREND...LED BY THE 00Z NAM.
THE 00Z GFS WAS NOT OF MUCH HELP AS IT SIGNIFICANTLY WASHED OUT
THE WAVE LEADING TO MINIMAL PRECIPITATION WHICH SEEMED UNLIKELY IN
THIS PATTERN. THUS...THIS FORECAST WAS HEAVILY DRIVEN BY THE 00Z
NAM INFLUENCES.


...SOUTHEASTERN U.S...

BY FAR THE MOST UNCERTAIN SECTOR OF THE MAP...THIS AREA IS PRIMED
TO BE AFFECTED BY WEAK MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE MID-SOUTH/LOWER TN
VALLEY/ADJACENT LOCATIONS. MEANWHILE...THE INFLUENCES OF TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA AND ITS ENHANCED TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTENT COULD BRING
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SECTIONS OF FL. BEGINNING TO THE
NORTH...A MYRIAD OF SHORTWAVES WOBBLING ABOUT THE TN
VALLEY/MID-SOUTH/OZARKS REGION WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
RATHER WEAK FLOW ALOFT. GIVEN THE WEAK WIND SHEAR IN PLACE...ANY
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ORGANIZE. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE DEFINITELY LIKELY GIVEN SLOW CELL MOTIONS AND
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE. TENDED TO LEAN ON A COMBINATION OF THE
18Z GFS/GEFS MEAN AS THEIR SLOWER SOLUTIONS WERE MORE IN LINE WITH
THE MULTI-DAY SPAGHETTI PLOT TRENDS. THIS GENERALLY WASHED OUT THE
SIGNAL A BIT BUT GIVEN THE WEAK SYNOPTIC FORCING AT HAND...FELT
THIS WAS A REASONABLE APPROACH.

OF COURSE THE BIGGER THREAT FOR MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS
IN RESPONSE TO TROPICAL STORM ERIKA...CURRENTLY SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO. MODEL UNCERTAINTY IS QUITE HIGH REGARDING BOTH THE TRACK AND
INTENSITY. THE 03Z FORECAST PACKAGE WAS MOST SUPPORTED BY THE 18Z
GFS/GEFS MEAN COMBINATION. HOWEVER...WITH A TREND IN THE SOUTH AND
WEST DIRECTIONS...THE LATEST NHC FORECAST TRACK OBEYED SOMETHING
CLOSER TO THE 00Z NAM. THE FINAL QPF PRODUCT FOLLOWED SUIT
ADJUSTING AMOUNTS ACCORDINGLY. REGARDLESS OF THE OVERALL STRENGTH
OF THE TROPICAL CIRCULATION...AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE ARISING
FORM THE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW SHOULD PRESENT A HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT TO MUCH OF FL. DECIDED TO PLACE A SLIGHT RISK ON DAY 3
ACROSS THE FL KEYS AND UP ALONG THE MIAMI/FT. LAUDERDALE METRO
AREAS. WHILE FFG VALUES ARE CURRENTLY HIGH...TROPICAL RAINFALL
RATES MAY POSE A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING.


...FOUR CORNERS REGION...

ENHANCED MONSOONAL MOISTURE LIFTING UP THE GULF OF CA/SEA OF
CORTEZ WILL WORK IN CONJUNCTION WITH DIURNAL HEATING TO BRING
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA SHOULD BE ACTIVE FROM THE
EARLY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES
GIVEN SUFFICIENT SURFACE HEATING FLUXES. THE OVERALL SIGNAL WAS
CLEAR ACROSS THE BOARD WITH ORGANIZATION NOT BEING GREAT SITTING
UNDERNEATH THE UPPER RIDGE. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED ISSUES OF FLASH
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE COMPLEX TERRAIN WHERE RUNOFF MAY
BE AN ISSUE. THE GRAPHIC WAS PRIMARILY DERIVED FROM A COMBINATION
OF THE 00Z NAM/12Z ECMWF GIVEN SUFFICIENT AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE
TWO.


ORAVEC/RUBIN-OSTER

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV



24HR QP VT 29/12Z
 0.01 523264 521256 518246 513233 510229 508224 505216 503212
      503208 505205 508204 514209 519215 524220 529224 532222
      534218 536209 539198 536190 519164 515160 512157 509156
      505158 503160 500172 498175 497182 495186 492188 486192
      483197 477201 470204 466204 464208 463211 460213 453214
      446216 439216 433216 425217 421222 419226 416224 415219
      412214 407214 399210 395210 395211 397217 401219 403223
      400227 396228 388228 382232 381235 382239 384247 375255
      365266 363270 361275 360282 362284 364287 368288 376289
      391294 408300 419304 428307 435307 442304 445298 448290
      455273 454267 455259 455256 457255 461254 467254 472256
      475258 485267 491273 495278 503285 506288 509287 514285
      518277
 0.01 520952 520923 520890 519865 517854 516841 515835 514826
      513810 510775 506767 501760 496754 495753 492756 487765
      486770 486776 487790 487805 485825 485832 483831 482827
      479823 472819 469818 463819 457824 457834 458849 459851
      459856 455852 448848 443847 441846 441841 439831 438825
      436822 432821 429823 426828 424833 422839 418846 414852
      410860 406866 403875 399886 395894 391903 385911 380919
      373924 366927 359931 355934 352938 348945 344952 340957
      333970 333982 336985 340987 342988 342991 340997 335004
      329010 326015 323018 319027 313034 311036 308038 306042
      305047 305054 303061 299069 296070 292070 286071 275071
      271070 268068 259063 250057 241054 237053 234056 234063
      240069 244075 252079 257082 261084 263088 268095 271099
      275102 279107 283112 288116 294119 298118 300115 306108
      315105 319106 321108 331114 342116 347116 346112 343103
      330069 332061 339059 344059 349060 353066 357069 362070
      368071 370075 373078 377080 379079 382079 387079 395078
      403074 410071 412067 412061 409056 406053 400053 378050
      370046 367044 366040 362036 359028 358023 358018 361006
      367999 368996 371995 375994 384990 387988 389986 393977
      398970 402963 409956 413955 419955 422959 423966 424969
      424975 428980 433983 438978 442969 444960 448934 450923
      454915 461891 463890 464896 463908 465920 465929 465937
      464947 463957 463964 465968 468975 480984 484983 486984
      487988 487996 488000 492998 494995 498985 501981 506981
      511981 514978 517965 520952
 0.01 385806 384801 383800 379800 375801 371805 367808 364813
      361816 358821 354824 351828 349831 348838 350842 354840
      357837 360832 365825 372816 380812 385806
 0.01 361729 359713 356710 353708 347710 344715 341720 339724
      334734 328741 322749 313757 308766 306770 303773 297776
      290778 287778 284777 279777 266779 258784 249789 240797
      236806 236810 236817 241829 246839 249842 253844 262846
      265847 267850 271855 277861 284869 288871 293871 301870
      306868 311870 314873 318872 323868 325865 326860 328854
      327847 327842 328838 326833 322822 326813 336793 338788
      340783 340776 342772 355754 358748 360743 361729
 0.25 530208 530199 528192 525187 520183 515179 510178 510183
      512189 515195 519201 521206 526210 530208
 0.25 514266 516262 515257 513250 509238 498214 493211 487210
      477212 475215 476218 478219 485221 486223 486229 485230
      482230 477227 474220 466224 461228 456229 445232 435235
      431236 425235 419232 413232 402233 400234 398238 399243
      400246 405249 404253 394258 384265 377272 374276 377281
      390279 402287 411294 421299 426300 431297 441289 442282
      442273 440263 437256 442252 451247 462246 471246 477246
      483250 492260 495260 496255 494248 492241 493238 496239
      498241 501247 504252 507258 510265 514266
 0.25 500914 501904 500895 499886 498883 495882 490881 485882
      482879 478879 477882 475889 475897 474907 474917 476937
      476944 477952 479954 482955 488954 492950 495944 499931
      500922 500914
 0.25 448887 448876 446869 443863 440861 438858 436855 431856
      427859 419872 405894 400906 393919 380943 370950 365954
      370955 374954 377957 378959 381960 385963 391959 400952
      405948 412945 418945 423946 429947 433947 436945 440939
      442934 445916 447901 448887
 0.25 322801 321799 318798 312798 303798 297797 284797 283798
      281802 282807 257802 252806 250807 250810 250816 254821
      256827 260830 271834 277839 279844 286854 292856 298857
      302856 304853 303846 297835 293831 286830 280832 275830
      276826 280826 289826 293826 296824 297819 312819 316815
      319811 322801
 0.25 275797 273795 271794 270795 269796 268798 267800 268800
      270800 272800 274799 275797 275797
 0.50 510257 509249 508243 507240 505237 502232 499226 496221
      495220 493225 495231 497237 502242 505247 507253 508256
      510257
 0.50 496919 495909 493904 491901 487896 480892 478902 479905
      480912 479922 479932 480938 482942 488942 492936 495927
      496919
 0.50 461240 462236 460235 457234 455234 452235 450236 448237
      446241 448244 452244 454243 457243 459242 461240
 0.50 436287 438283 437280 436277 432266 431263 426260 417260
      410261 405261 401263 399267 399272 404280 411287 418292
      421295 427295 429294 433290 436287
 0.50 431246 430243 429240 426239 423238 419236 416235 414237
      413240 413243 416246 418247 421249 425249 426249 430248
      431246
 0.50 443906 444893 443886 442880 438871 435868 431865 428867
      425871 420879 411895 407902 403912 396929 396938 396944
      400946 408943 411942 417941 425943 430942 435940 439934
      441921 443906
 0.50 298845 297840 296838 293837 292836 288835 286834 282835
      282838 283842 284844 287846 289846 291847 294848 296847
      298845
 1.00 438909 438900 438890 436884 432880 427878 423882 418893
      412905 408918 407923 406933 406938 408939 416938 422939
      428937 433934 436928 437921 438911 438909
 1.50 434909 435902 434896 432891 429889 427888 423892 419900
      416910 412919 410929 410935 414936 419936 424935 430930
      432926 433921 434909
 2.00 429919 430909 431905 430900 427898 424899 420903 418910
      415917 414924 413931 414933 417933 423932 426928 429921
      429919
 3.00 422919 421917 419918 418919 419921 421920 422919

24HR QP VT 30/12Z
 0.01 524260 523248 519240 518237 518232 520230 523233 527235
      529236 534225 537211 541198 542190 542183 537175 531168
      526164 523161 520157 512150 509148 504146 500144 495143
      483129 481126 478126 474133 469137 464135 464130 466125
      467120 462117 457111 443104 441103 438105 432108 427109
      423111 421111 419113 415117 404116 406124 412130 415134
      416139 419145 423141 426134 429131 436124 439122 441121
      442124 443129 443133 441135 438138 437141 441149 451152
      449160 450172 452176 455178 457177 459180 461179 463174
      464170 467169 481173 484180 483186 480188 476192 474196
      470199 466202 458202 450206 421212 417213 412213 400211
      396212 394217 391220 390227 393235 399241 402243 406246
      404252 418268 421270 426271 434267 434273 436278 439286
      446290 450292 453291 456290 459293 465301 469305 475307
      479308 483307 494305 501305 507305
 0.01 485154 486151 485149 485147 483146 483145 482144 480145
      479147 479150 481153 482154 484155 485154
 0.01 491838 490818 488812 484806 481800 477797 470793 463794
      459795 456792 454785 451778 451770 449758 447756 444756
      442755 438755 435756 432758 424767 418777 416784 412790
      406805 405812 404820 403827 403834 402843 399853 398861
      401869 390890 387897 382903 378907 373913 364920 355927
      351930 344933 341934 338938 337945 341960 343963 345965
      348965 355963 359963 363961 366956 369955 373955 381954
      386951 388947 390940 389929 389926 391922 394918 400913
      408904 412902 417903 425902 430900 436895 441892 447887
      452884 456882 463881 465878 469878 471875 475874 479870
      482864 486858 488852 491838
 0.01 455147 456145 456142 455140 453142 452144 452146 454149
      455147
 0.01 411105 410101 406100 402108 394112 387113 382115 379119
      375125 375130 378128 383129 386125 390118 394115 398113
      405112 409110 411105
 0.01 394798 393794 391794 386795 381798 377803 374808 371813
      374819 379819 382814 385809 389806 392801 394798
 0.01 395057 395055 393056 389059 385061 383058 381050 379048
      375047 368046 365048 362048 358048 356050 352053 347055
      344054 340049 336043 324043 313039 310036 306032 305030
      303032 302034 304038 306040 307044 307050 305053 301057
      296060 287064 277068 274069 270070 262069 258071 256073
      255077 258086 260089 264090 271092 275095 277102 286108
      289110 292115 297120 302122 309124 315127 325133 329133
      331129 331125 332123 335121 339122 341124 342127 349130
      352124 357123 366125 368124 369120 366116 352110 349105
      349099 350099 355102 357102 360100 362098 364099 366103
      370104 372102 373098 373093 371091 368088 366083 371083
      375084 381081 387070 395057
 0.01 219745 214749 211756 207766 211774 213783 216791 221798
      226802 229809 231816 235821 249828 244841 242844 243850
      245857 253865 263865 267867 270870 274874 277877 281878
      284879 289879 296883 300886 307887 317887 324890 333890
      337889 340885 345881 347882 351879 355879 357877 363876
      367870 369862 371858 369854 368849 366845 364834 360827
      359821 352818 344817 336813 331809 330805 331800 337786
      343775 352761 356755 362749 367743 371737 377726 378718
      376707 371700 368698 363697 358698 349701 338708 332714
      328719 317731 314734 313739 312741 307743 300745 293744
      286743 278740 272737 264734 258731 255733 248733 242735
 0.01 340065 339064 337063 335063 333063 332063 330064 328066
      330068 331068 333068 335068 337068 338067 339067 340065
 0.25 521272 513229 514221 516218 522218 528220 532216 534211
      535207 536199 537194 537187 531178 525172 520166 514162
      512166 508167 504169 499169 496171 495176 494181 494185
      493191 491197 484201 472207 464209 456213 443218 440221
      439228 437232 434237 428242 428247 429250 433254 436256
      441255 446257 452264 458269 464276 469283 475289 479291
      483292 487291 491292 502297 508294 514288
 0.25 448846 449838 448832 446827 444822 437801 434798 432794
      430790 424789 420797 416807 415817 414823 414830 415837
      416841 417848 416854 411875 410880 411883 414887 419886
      426882 433876 437870 443861 446853 448846
 0.25 371722 371717 370712 366705 360703 352707 346710 339716
      334719 329725 324730 320736 317742 317753 319761 322764
      325766 328767 332766 337762 349752 354748 359741 362736
      367730 371722
 0.25 380076 380074 380071 380070 380069 379067 378065 377065
      376064 375064 373064 371064 371065 371066 373067 374068
      374070 375071 375073 375075 376077 377078 379076 380076
 0.25 363056 364054 363052 361052 359053 358054 357056 357057
      359058 361057 363056 363056
 0.25 361067 362065 361063 359063 358065 359067 360067 361067
 0.25 352855 352851 351848 349846 341838 337830 331824 325817
      321814 315813 308819 302825 293830 286830 280831 276832
      272834 270840 273845 278851 280856 282862 288868 297871
      303871 308870 312869 317870 326872 331872 337871 344867
      350859 352855
 0.25 341098 340093 339091 338089 337085 336083 334082 332079
      329077 327079 325083 326085 329088 331090 333091 335095
      336097 338098 341098
 0.25 336056 336055 334055 332055 330055 329054 327055 327057
      328058 330058 332058 334058 336057 336056
 0.25 331105 330101 328099 322093 319089 315086 312086 309086
      307084 302078 297074 289072 282072 276077 272081 272085
      274087 284097 289101 297104 303107 311111 315115 320115
      319112 320108 322106 329107 331105
 0.25 259764 259756 257752 255749 246742 240740 236740 232741
      226744 222748 218753 214759 214765 216773 218779 222786
      225790 228792 232792 240790 249790 253789 256787 258781
      258774 259766 259764
 0.50 531208 532201 531194 528188 526186 527182 525178 521175
      515177 510176 507177 504181 503189 505192 510195 514197
      515202 517206 521209 527212 531208
 0.50 518273 519268 518265 517259 513243 511230 509222 505216
      505209 503204 500201 496202 490203 481206 476207 471210
      462213 456216 451217 447220 444225 445230 445234 442237
      436246 439251 444248 450247 453251 457257 462260 469269
      475273 481277 490284 496288 503290 507287 511283 515280
      518273
 0.50 443849 443840 441832 438826 436820 428810 424808 421813
      422817 421825 421833 422844 422852 421860 420867 420872
      421875 428875 433871 439861 441856 443849
 0.50 367721 368716 367713 363708 359708 357709 351712 346715
      341720 337722 333726 325734 322740 322747 325753 327755
      331754 343749 348747 353742 359733 362728 366723 367721
 0.50 331081 330080 329081 328081 328082 330082 331081
 0.50 331852 329846 326842 324836 322829 319828 315829 311833
      308839 307846 311850 313852 315856 318859 324857 329854
      331852
 0.50 303087 303084 301082 299080 296078 293077 292077 289078
      286078 284080 283084 284087 286086 288085 292085 295085
      297086 301087 303087
 0.50 300846 300842 298840 295838 293837 292836 288836 286838
      285841 285844 286846 289847 290848 294849 296849 299849
      300846
 0.50 253773 252767 250761 249755 246750 243746 240743 235742
      230744 222751 217758 217765 219772 224781 226783 232785
      237784 242782 248781 252777 253773
 1.00 514272 516268 516265 515260 513249 507229 503220 498211
      495209 491209 482210 475212 468215 461218 458222 459227
      461230 461236 465246 471251 479257 486263 491271 497278
      501281 504278 506272 508270 512273 514272
 1.00 491240 491234 488230 485227 482224 478220 474223 470225
      472227 477228 480231 482236 487238 490240 491240
 1.00 436854 436847 435842 431838 428837 426841 426848 425853
      427857 427864 427867 430868 432864 434860 436856 436854
 1.00 347734 346732 344730 341731 337731 335732 332735 332737
      333739 335741 339741 342740 344739 346736 347734
 1.00 247772 247767 245764 242757 240749 237746 232747 226751
      222756 221759 221764 224771 227777 230779 235780 240779
      246774 247772
 1.50 514266 514261 511255 508242 504231 500220 497216 492212
      487212 483216 483220 487225 490228 493233 498245 504254
      509262 511266 514266
 1.50 499266 497255 493246 490242 487240 484241 480239 478234
      475231 471233 469236 469240 471244 475247 479249 483252
      485256 491263 494267 497268 499266
 1.50 244773 243767 242763 239758 238753 235750 231753 226755
      224757 224763 225769 227773 231776 234777 240776 243773
      244773
 2.00 507251 507243 505236 502231 499224 497219 492215 489214
      486215 485219 488223 492227 495233 497239 500244 504249
      507251
 2.00 491253 491250 491249 490247 489246 488244 487244 486243
      485245 486247 487249 489252 490254 491253
 2.00 479244 479241 479238 478235 477235 476233 474234 473234
      472236 472237 472239 473240 475242 476243 478244 479244
 2.00 241769 240767 240765 240763 238759 236758 234757 230756
      228756 226757 225761 227765 228767 230770 232771 234772
      238772 239771 241769

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 205774 212789 214798 213804 213812 214820 217834 222839
      226843 232847 243846 246847 249851 253857 258860 266864
      272869 274873 274877 274884 272886 271892 267901 260911
      257917 254926 253929 254932 254937 250939 248941 248946
      249955 255960 262964 265966 269968 275972 281973 286969
      289965 292960 297948 300942 301932 302921 303916 304912
      307905 312900 318894 324887 328882 330879 334880 347884
      352883 358883 370887 377891 385893 387895 392895 401894
      413885 421874 424869 425866 428858 429855 429850 430841
      430832 431825 434819 436811 439794 440782 441772 440766
      441762 440750 439743 437738 440733 443730 448725 450721
      453719 458714 462716 462720 465727 467729 469729 472728
      473725 476719 477714 477710 479701 482696 485692 491685
      493676 494672 493666 495658 496655 494650 491639 490636
      487634 481632 476631 464635 453643 450652 447661 444668
      442677 437694 433701 427706 419709 416711 414709 415706
      416699 416696 412696 398700 394712 393718 392727 392738
      394748 396753 396759 398762 397768 397773 395777 388784
      377794 365801 358802 353801 338803 333799 330794 328773
      327770 323767 317763 310760 306756 305750 299733 290725
      280723 264726 258728 250732 237739 210757 206759 206763
      205774
 0.01 524262 526246 530234 533228 537218 538211 538206 538202
      538191 537184 534179 531174 528168 524163 514153 498143
      492139 488134 478127 473138 475141 478140 481141 481145
      478146 475146 471145 468142 463141 456145 451157 454161
      453169 451171 451176 452178 455178 458184 461188 463191
      467192 472191 477194 478200 475205 470208 458212 452213
      446212 440211 437211 436213 430224 426231 420233 414235
      411240 411247 414248 421246 426245 434247 441247 443245
      447248 450252 453255 459257 463259 467259 467263 468273
      470280 473287 475293 479303 490312 499311 506303 510297
      513292
 0.01 521229 522226 522224 522221 521220 521218 520216 520215
      519214 517213 516212 514213 514214 513215 512218 513221
      513222 514223 515224 516226 517227 517228 519229 520230
      521229
 0.01 501201 502199 501197 499197 498196 496196 495197 494199
      495202 495203 497203 498204 499204 500203 501201
 0.01 481097 481088 480084 475074 469072 466070 461070 458074
      454078 451074 447070 442067 439068 437072 437082 435088
      427092 423107 421111 421115 422119 424120 429120 433116
      434114 436118 434123 435126 435131 439139 444140 448136
      448132 450128 454124 458123 461117 464115 473108 477104
      481097
 0.01 446048 446038 444036 441035 438035 436038 433042 406050
      399046 395043 385046 378043 371045 365047 361048 357047
      352049 348050 345049 340047 333046 327044 324044 322048
      323065 320072 315076 311077 305076 297073 292069 277065
      264058 254053 247051 238052 234053 233055 232065 232073
      237077 244085 257093 261097 265103 269108 275111 280113
      285117 298123 305125 310127 313125 325121 332121 335122
      338124 344129 349130 356127 359126 363124 371115 375111
      380109 386106 392102 397097 401091 410081 413076 417072
      425059 432059 436057 439057 446048
 0.25 534209 533190 530183 527177 523172 519167 514166 508163
      504162 502163 496164 493166 491168 490172 490176 493181
      499186 511194 518204 527216 532214 534209
 0.25 520266 521260 521253 520245 519240 513232 508222 504215
      500210 496207 488207 483207 479208 475212 473216 472222
      473226 471230 468232 465236 463241 464246 467249 471252
      474256 480277 484286 492294 497297 501296 508291 512286
      513282 518271 520266
 0.25 418792 416784 413779 410779 406780 403785 398791 394791
      390791 387794 383800 374817 369815 365811 362809 360810
      353814 347823 342829 337834 331837 327840 325843 325847
      329852 334855 340855 349853 354850 359845 362840 364833
      366829 369828 375828 378824 390824 394825 398824 403825
      410827 412825 414821 416815 417809 418792
 0.25 401058 400056 398056 397056 395055 393055 392057 393059
      393060 394062 395062 396062 398061 400060 400059 401058
 0.25 392080 393078 393075 393073 392072 391073 390073 389075
      388077 387079 388082 390082 391081 392080
 0.25 385072 384070 382067 380066 378068 377071 376073 374076
      374080 375082 377082 379082 382081 384079 385074 385072
 0.25 354086 355081 354075 349077 341078 335078 332076 329077
      327082 329085 331092 332101 334104 339106 343106 345102
      347094 352088 354086
 0.25 327102 325097 323095 317086 299081 294081 292083 291088
      293092 297100 294098 289091 286087 282086 274086 266082
      261081 259085 262090 264092 270098 278102 284108 292113
      299116 304117 308115 312108 316105 321104 324104 327102
 0.25 305806 304796 302789 298773 296764 293759 285747 281743
      277740 270737 264736 256737 249738 242741 236745 229753
      218762 215768 215773 216783 218790 221806 223814 226819
      230824 234827 241830 247831 259830 268830 276829 280828
      282825 285820 297813 301810 305806
 0.25 283941 283933 282927 281923 279921 274924 270927 267933
      266939 268945 271949 276952 281950 283943 283941
 0.50 531208 532200 530194 529188 526183 524178 520175 516175
      512173 509169 506167 503167 499169 496174 496178 498179
      503182 506185 512188 518196 520202 523205 526209 529210
      531208 531208
 0.50 519265 519259 518254 517245 515240 505219 499211 494209
      489210 480210 478212 477216 479221 488226 494238 495241
      493241 490239 486235 481235 477231 474233 470237 469244
      476251 478257 480264 490283 494287 499289 504289 509287
      511282 513276 519265
 0.50 316093 315090 313088 312087 310087 308086 306086 304086
      303086 301085 299086 299088 300091 302092 303093 304093
      305094 307094 309094 311094 313093 315093 316093
 0.50 294797 293789 291785 289772 288766 285762 279753 271748
      265746 260746 253746 248747 237751 230758 222766 219771
      219776 221790 223803 225811 228815 237819 241821 248822
      257822 261820 262816 264811 269808 272808 279808 285807
      291803 294797
 0.50 282099 282097 281096 280094 278094 276094 276095 277096
      278097 279098 281099 282099
 1.00 516264 515251 510238 505229 502222 499216 494214 491215
      485215 484220 486221 489222 491225 492230 495236 498242
      501246 504251 505258 505263 503262 490242 486240 483242
      476234 473239 474242 481245 483252 488262 494273 501282
      505284 508280 508274 511272 516264
 1.00 284787 283782 281779 275774 261768 246766 239763 236762
      233763 228768 224771 223775 224783 226793 228803 229807
      232810 247815 253813 259807 274801 280796 284789 284787
 1.50 512263 513258 512252 510246 506237 502231 499223 498220
      493218 491223 492227 496236 500242 504248 507256 508261
      510263 512263
 1.50 505279 504272 502266 499261 495254 492249 490244 487243
      485246 486254 489260 492265 496270 499274 503279 505279
 1.50 275787 270785 264781 259780 254779 251778 243771 238767
      234767 231768 227773 226781 230797 233802 238806 243809
      249811 259804 265802 270800 271797 275787
 2.00 510257 510254 509251 508248 507248 507250 507251 508253
      508255 509257 510257 510257
 2.00 501272 502269 500267 498263 496259 493254 492250 488248
      487251 489257 491260 493265 496268 500272 501272
 2.00 504241 504238 503236 500232 499229 498227 497224 495221
      493225 494229 495232 496234 498237 500240 502241 504241
 2.00 269796 267790 263787 255783 247778 239771 236769 234770
      232772 229781 231792 233798 237801 240804 244807 249808
      254805 264800 267798 269796
 3.00 263796 262793 260790 252789 247784 242780 240779 235780
      234788 241791 244792 243795 242798 243801 248804 254802
      261798 263796

$$




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