River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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613
FGUS51 KTAR 190342
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1031 PM EST Sat Feb 18 2017
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.69 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER ATTN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     4.8/     4.7/     4.5/     4.3
.E2 :0220:/     4.2/     4.1/     4.0/     3.9
.E3 :0221:/     3.9/     3.9/     3.8/     3.8
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.76 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER BTVN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     2.9/     3.3/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :0220:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1
.E3 :0221:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.9/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.89 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER RAPN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     3.1/     3.3/     3.5/     3.7
.E2 :0220:/     3.9/     4.2/     4.3/     4.4
.E3 :0221:/     4.4/     4.2/     4.0/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.23 ft at Feb-18 10:15 pm
:
.ER GOWN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     4.4/     4.7/     4.5/     4.3
.E2 :0220:/     4.1/     3.9/     3.7/     3.5
.E3 :0221:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.78 ft at Feb-18 10:15 pm
:
.ER GDVN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     3.1/     2.9/     2.5/     2.2
.E2 :0220:/     2.0/     1.9/     1.7/     1.6
.E3 :0221:/     1.5/     1.5/     1.4/     1.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.10 ft at Feb-18 09:30 pm
:
.ER LCSN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     5.2/     5.1/     4.9/     4.8
.E2 :0220:/     4.7/     4.6/     4.5/     4.4
.E3 :0221:/     4.4/     4.3/     4.3/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.20 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER EBZN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     4.5/     4.6/     4.3/     4.2
.E2 :0220:/     4.0/     3.9/     3.7/     3.6
.E3 :0221:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.60 ft at Feb-18 10:15 pm
:
.ER WILN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     2.6/     2.9/     3.0/     3.1
.E2 :0220:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8/     2.7
.E3 :0221:/     2.6/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.00 ft at Feb-18 09:45 pm
:
.ER WLLN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     6.3/     6.4/     6.2/     6.1
.E2 :0220:/     6.0/     5.9/     5.8/     5.8
.E3 :0221:/     5.7/     5.6/     5.6/     5.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 11.10 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER PRTN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/    11.3/    11.8/    11.9/    11.7
.E2 :0220:/    11.5/    11.3/    11.2/    11.0
.E3 :0221:/    10.9/    10.8/    10.7/    10.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 621.49 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:Crest 623.83 at Feb-20 1pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/   620.9/   620.6/   621.3/   622.5
.E2 :0220:/   623.3/   623.8/   623.8/   623.5
.E3 :0221:/   623.0/   622.3/   621.4/   620.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 25.11 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER AVON6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/    25.1/    25.3/    25.7/    25.9
.E2 :0220:/    26.0/    26.1/    26.1/    26.1
.E3 :0221:/    26.1/    26.0/    25.9/    25.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.36 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER GRBN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     3.4/     3.6/     3.9/     4.1
.E2 :0220:/     4.2/     4.2/     4.2/     4.1
.E3 :0221:/     4.0/     3.9/     3.8/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.66 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER CHRN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     2.7/     3.0/     3.2/     3.4
.E2 :0220:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.5
.E3 :0221:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.1/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.60 ft at Feb-18 10:00 pm
:
.ER HNYN6 20170219 E DC201702182231/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0219:/     1.7/     1.8/     1.7/     1.5
.E2 :0220:/     1.5/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4
.E3 :0221:/     1.4/     1.3/     1.3/     1.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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