Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270501
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico are associated with a broad area of low
pressure.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by late this week while the
system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 1500 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to
produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms to the east
and northeast of the center.  Environmental conditions are expected
to become less favorable over the next day or so, and significant
development of this system is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch


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