073
FNUS22 KWNS 041651
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO CENTRAL
AND NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO...

Only minor changes have been made to the ongoing forecast to expand
the critical area to include northwest New Mexico. The
meteorological reasoning remains the same as below.

..Marsh.. 05/04/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1227 AM CDT Sat May 04 2024/

...Synopsis...
A stronger trough will approach the Four Corners on Sunday. As this
occurs, a deep surface low will develop in the northern Rockies/High
Plains with a trough extending into the southern High Plains.

...Southwest...
Surface winds will increase through the day as the surface
low/trough deepens. This, in combination with the approach of
stronger mid-level winds during the afternoon, will promote elevated
to critical fire weather from parts of eastern Arizona into much of
central New Mexico. RH of 10-15% will be common with some localized
single digit values possible. Winds of 15-25 mph will also be
possible--higher speeds being more likely in terrain-favored areas.
The eastern extent of the fire weather threat will be determined by
how far west moisture pushes as well as where precipitation falls on
Saturday.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$