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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS
Versions: 1
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FNUS73 KTOP 171300
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for Kuwait...USFWS
National Weather Service Topeka KS
800 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Weak high pressure is forecast to influence the winds today. W to NW
winds should weaken through the morning becoming light and variable by
noon. Winds are expected to then pick up out of the SE this evening
as a cold front approaches. The front should move through the area
around mid morning Thursday with strong N winds behind it. The light
winds this afternoon could inhibit smoke dispersal. Afternoon RH
values are should drop to around 30 percent as temperatures warm into
the lower 80s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 82.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds west at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5900 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /4700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /59200 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  61  67  71  73  75  78  79  81  82
RH..............68  60  50  45  41  39  35  33  31  31
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.7 2.5 3.3 4.3 4.9 5.3 5.8 5.9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10005   9   19  22  30  39  49  53  58  59

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Temperature.........Min 54.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the late
                    evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (47600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC  CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      20     30     20     30
Temp............80     74     66     64     64     62
RH..............35     45     61     75     81     96
20 FT wind dir..S      SE     SE     SE     S      S
20 FT wind spd..7      7      7      10     15     15
20 FT wind gust.                     14     22     21
Mix hgt (ft)....4800   500    500    500    600    600
Haines index....5      4      3      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100048     5      7      9      10     13

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds around 12 mph shifting to the west
                    around 10 mph early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the north 10 to 17 mph with gusts
                    to around 26 mph early in the morning
                    increasing to 19 to 22 mph with gusts to around
                    32 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (89300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).60        70        70        10
Temp............62        62        59        61
RH..............100       82        77        60
20 FT wind dir..S         N         N         N
20 FT wind spd..12        13        22        22
20 FT wind gust.20        20        32        32
Mix hgt (ft)....800       1400      2200      3200
Haines index....3         3         2         2
SDspl kt-ft/100014        21        60        87

$$
Forecaster...Wolters
Requested by...David Spencer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411209.0/TOP
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_spencer@fws.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
