Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
000
FXUS64 KLZK 241941
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
241 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
FOR A LATE MAY DAY IN ARKANSAS...YOU JUST CAN/T BEAT TODAY. LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER...AND MAINLY NORTHEAST/EASTERLY FLOW HAS
KEPT TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S IN MUCH OF THE STATE.
TONIGHT WILL BE COOL...WITH LOWS IN THE 50S IN MUCH OF THE AREA.
SLOW WARMING WILL COMMENCE IN THE COMING DAYS...AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST...AND THE REMNANTS OF A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION RETURN NORTH. AT THE SAME TIME...
SEVERAL WEAK WAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH IN THE MEAN FLOW ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...BRINGING MAINLY SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
BY MONDAY...DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AS UPPER RIDGING SETS UP
OVER THE REGION. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ELEVATED...DUE TO THE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST
CONUS AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS. HIGHS WILL BE
WELL INTO THE 80S AREAWIDE.
&&
.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE PUSHING EAST OF ARKANSAS ON TUESDAY AS AN
UPPER TROUGH DIVES ALONG THE WEST COAST. IN BETWEEN
SYSTEMS...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY
AND SLIDES INTO CANADA FRIDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY BUT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
SLOWLY MOVES TOWARD THE STATE FROM THE WEST...AND MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INCREASES. NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 50 78 59 82 / 0 10 10 30
CAMDEN AR 57 84 63 85 / 10 10 20 20
HARRISON AR 51 79 60 81 / 0 20 20 40
HOT SPRINGS AR 56 83 63 84 / 0 10 20 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 53 81 62 84 / 0 10 10 20
MONTICELLO AR 55 83 62 85 / 0 10 10 20
MOUNT IDA AR 55 81 62 82 / 10 20 20 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 50 79 60 82 / 0 10 20 40
NEWPORT AR 51 78 60 83 / 0 10 10 30
PINE BLUFF AR 54 81 62 84 / 0 10 10 20
RUSSELLVILLE AR 54 81 62 83 / 0 20 20 30
SEARCY AR 51 79 58 83 / 0 10 10 20
STUTTGART AR 53 80 63 84 / 0 10 10 20
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51