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000
FXUS64 KLZK 171141
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
641 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

.AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE TODAY AND AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THIS MORNING. ANOTHER
ROUND WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.
FOG WILL DEVELOP AT SOME SITES LATE TONIGHT WITH ABUNDANT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. MAINLY VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT INTO THE STATE FROM THE NORTH TODAY. AT THE
SAME TIME...AN MCS WILL ARRIVE FROM OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. LOOKS
UNSETTLED TODAY...WITH CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.

THE FRONT WILL HANG AROUND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH
GOOD CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION MAINLY CONFINED TO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE STATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. RAIN WILL BE MORE
SPOTTY FARTHER NORTH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT/BELOW NORMAL.

ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ISOLATED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAIN SHOULD
BE APPRECIABLE...WITH ONE TO TWO INCH AMOUNTS IN MANY AREAS...AND
LOCALLY MORE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES.

TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD...THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY WASH OUT.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF RAIN BY
THURSDAY...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
AN UPPER HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL BE CENTERED OVER TEXAS TO BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS HIGH WILL EASE INTO ARKANSAS BY LATE FRIDAY.
NORTH FLOW WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS FRIDAY BEFORE THE HIGH TAKES
CONTROL OF THE STATE FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

A SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH ARKANSAS FRIDAY.
INCLUDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS TIME
PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH DRY
WEATHER. SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     85  68  86  68 /  70  50  30  10
CAMDEN AR         89  72  85  70 /  70  70  60  40
HARRISON AR       82  65  84  65 /  80  40  20  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    86  71  85  68 /  80  70  50  30
LITTLE ROCK   AR  87  71  86  70 /  70  70  50  20
MONTICELLO AR     90  73  86  71 /  60  70  60  40
MOUNT IDA AR      86  70  84  67 /  80  70  50  30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  83  65  86  66 /  80  40  20  10
NEWPORT AR        86  70  87  69 /  70  50  30  10
PINE BLUFF AR     89  72  86  70 /  70  70  60  30
RUSSELLVILLE AR   84  68  86  68 /  80  50  30  20
SEARCY AR         86  70  86  69 /  70  60  40  20
STUTTGART AR      88  71  86  70 /  70  70  50  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51