251
FXUS64 KLZK 301156 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
656 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 409 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Recent night fog sat imgry depicted developing fog acrs much of the
FA, w/ sfc high pressure centered over the Mid-South. Thru the
remaining overnight hrs and towards sunrise, expect areas of fog to
persist around the region, w/ locally dense fog (VISBY`s less than 1
mile). Foggy condns should improve after sunrise w/ the onset of
diurnal heating/mixing.

Thru the day today, expect settled condns acrs the FA, w/ winds bcmg
more Srly by the aftn hrs as broad sfc cyclonic flow develops acrs
the Cntrl Plains. Strong WAA wl start to yield above normal temps
around the region, w/ fcst high temps in the mid to upper 80s the
next few days.

Rain chances wl return to the fcst on Wed as WAA continues across
the region, w/ higher Chc PoPs mainly focused acrs portions of Wrn
AR, including some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)

Issued at 409 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
An unsettled weather pattern will return by the second half of the
week here in Arkansas as a fairly significant complex of
thunderstorms will likely be moving into the region from east TX and
OK. SW Arkansas will be at the highest risk for any heavier rain and
flash flood potential considering we are now well above
climatological norms triggering lower flash flood guidance. Will
need to keep a close watch on the progression out of NE Texas over
the next few days as this area of concern could shift into LA.

In the meantime a cold front will drop in from the north providing
another opportunity for showers and thunderstorms across the state
heading into the end of the week. The threat for heavy rain is
somewhat less aggressive but will need to monitor streamflows and
recent rainfall observations for any high runoff and flood prone
areas.

Temperatures will be mild through the period with lows in the
50s/60s and highs in the upper 70s/low 80s. These will fluctuate day
to day due to rainfall chances and the presence of enhanced sky
cover.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 654 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Widespread fog was contributing to IFR condns around the FA, and
at most area terminals this mrng. Expect IFR VISBY`s to persist
for a few hours after 12Z, w/ eventual mixing leading to improving
condns later this mrng. Otherwise, light winds wl bcm Srly by this
aftn, w/ incrsg mid to high cloud cover acrs Cntrl to Srn AR.

/72/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     82  62  86  64 /   0   0  10  10
Camden AR         85  60  87  65 /   0   0  20  20
Harrison AR       82  60  84  64 /   0  10  10  10
Hot Springs AR    84  61  87  65 /   0   0  20  20
Little Rock   AR  85  64  88  67 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     84  63  88  67 /   0   0  10  10
Mount Ida AR      85  61  86  66 /   0   0  20  30
Mountain Home AR  82  60  86  64 /   0  10  10  10
Newport AR        83  61  86  64 /   0   0  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     84  62  87  65 /   0   0  10  10
Russellville AR   85  61  87  65 /   0   0  10  20
Searcy AR         83  60  86  63 /   0   0  10  10
Stuttgart AR      83  63  86  66 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for ARZ005>008-
014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-123-140-141-
223-240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...72
LONG TERM....61
AVIATION...72