National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 121123 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
620 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

.AVIATION...

A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WITH SOME HIGH
CLOUDS INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT.
WINDS IN MOST AREAS WILL BE NORTH/NORTHEAST TODAY AT 5 TO 10
MPH...AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

HIGH PRESSURE IS SETTLING INTO THE STATE EARLY THIS MORNING. SKIES
WILL BE CLEAR TODAY...BUT THE INFLUX OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL
KNOCK HIGHS DOWN A FEW DEGREES VERSUS SATURDAY.

A WARM UP WILL OCCUR ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY THOUGH AS HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST OF THE STATE AND SOUTH WINDS RESUME. EXPECT HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S ON MONDAY...AND LOW TO UPPER 80S ON TUESDAY.

BY LATE TUESDAY THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR TODAY/S
COOLER TEMPS WILL BE MOVING OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. ANOTHER
UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM TEXAS TUE NIGHT AND WED. RAIN
CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN WESTERN ARKANSAS NOTABLY ON WED AS THE
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE REGION. BY WED EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD HAVE SPREAD TO MUCH OF THE STATE.
AT THIS TIME IT IS DIFFICULT TO TELL WHAT...IF ANY...THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS WITH THIS INCOMING SYSTEM. WILL JUST GO WITH
GENERIC MENTION OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL START WITH A WEAKENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
ALOFT...WHICH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ONCE THE LOW PASSES TO THE
EAST...THERE WILL BE RIDGING ALOFT AND DRY/WARM CONDITIONS TO BEGIN
NEXT WEEKEND. AT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     68  46  76  57 /   0  10   0   0
CAMDEN AR         73  47  80  56 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       66  46  76  57 /   0  10   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    72  49  79  58 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  71  50  78  58 /   0  10   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     71  49  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      74  48  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  68  44  76  56 /   0  10   0   0
NEWPORT AR        68  47  76  57 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     70  49  78  56 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   72  47  80  56 /   0  10   0   0
SEARCY AR         69  47  77  55 /   0  10   0   0
STUTTGART AR      69  50  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...64 / LONG TERM...46
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
