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FLUS44 KLZK 211646
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1145 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
1145 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
CONDITIONS FOR A SUBSTABTIAL SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE ARE COMING
TOGETHER ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH A LINE FROM MENA...TO LITTLE
ROCK...TO BRINKLEY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AHEAD OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. SEVERAL NUMERICAL MODELS ALSO SUGGEST A COMPLEX OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND AFFECT THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
ALSO...CONIDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND
DAMAGE...AND A TORNADO POTENIAL...WILL INCREASE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA.

DUE TO THE HIGH LEVELS OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND WITH MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED...THERE WILL BE A
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING AS SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE SEVERAL INCHES
OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT TIME FRAME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE BEGINNING ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS MORE STABLE AND DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE
STATE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE FOR FRIDAY...BUT
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED TO THE SOUTH AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LOW LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

$$

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